Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Genk 3–0 Kortrijk
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Cegeka Arena, Genk
GenkTeam 1905KortrijkTeam 1696- D. Heymans 3'
- H. Murray-Campbell 13' (og)
- R. Durosinmi 63'
We gave Genk 57% to win: they did.
- D. Heymans –3'Genk:D. Heymans –
- H. Murray-Campbell – (own goal)13'Genk:H. Murray-Campbell – (own goal)
- 15'S. Campbell –Kortrijk:S. Campbell –
- 24'M. Anderson –Kortrijk:M. Anderson –
- 49'S. Campbell –Kortrijk:S. Campbell –
- 49'S. Campbell –Kortrijk:S. Campbell –
- R. Durosinmi – assist D. Heymans –63'Genk:R. Durosinmi – assist D. Heymans –
- J. Erenbjerg – for B. Tahirovic –68'Genk:J. Erenbjerg – for B. Tahirovic –
- 68'J. van Landschoot – for A. Phillips –Kortrijk:J. van Landschoot – for A. Phillips –
- 68'S. Ogbuehi – for G. Koyalipou –Kortrijk:S. Ogbuehi – for G. Koyalipou –
- J. Kayembe –69'Genk:J. Kayembe –
- A. Bibout – for R. Durosinmi –76'Genk:A. Bibout – for R. Durosinmi –
- M. Roganovic – for J. Kayembe –77'Genk:M. Roganovic – for J. Kayembe –
- J. Afriyie – for J. Ito –77'Genk:J. Afriyie – for J. Ito –
- 80'L. De Smet – for B. Dejaegere –Kortrijk:L. De Smet – for B. Dejaegere –
- 80'J. Ndjeungoue – for M. Anderson –Kortrijk:J. Ndjeungoue – for M. Anderson –
- 80'M. Fofana – for R. Kohon –Kortrijk:M. Fofana – for R. Kohon –
- A. De Wannemacker – for D. Heymans –86'Genk:A. De Wannemacker – for D. Heymans –
Before kick-off (provisional): 57% · 24% · 18%(Genk · draw · Kortrijk)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–0 had 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Genk €3.0M, Kortrijk €1.0M.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Pro League): Genk ranked #2 of 18, Kortrijk #17.
- Genk's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Genk
11th in Pro League · 9 pts from 7
- 20 SepLClub Brugge KV Belgium Pro League1916
- 13 SepDGent Belgium Pro League1913
- 6 SepDAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1919
- 28 AugWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1936
- 22 AugDAntwerp Belgium Pro League1938
Kortrijk
16th in Pro League · 3 pts from 7
- 20 SepWSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1629
- 13 SepLRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1646
- 6 SepLZulte Waregem Belgium Pro League1649
- 3 SepLAnderlecht Belgium Pro League1640
- 29 AugLCharleroi Belgium Pro League1703
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 9 /7 | 52.7 | <1% | 19% | <1% | 5th |
| Kortrijk | 3 /7 | 33.0 | 0% | 0% | 46% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Genk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2100
Kortrijk · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1756
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Genk: possession-based (how Jess Christian Thorup plays) · Kortrijk: direct (how Michiel Jonckheere plays)