Süper Lig · Regular Season - 8
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–1 Galatasaray
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Team 1757
GalatasarayTeam 2181Match story
Gençlerbirliği S.K. · draw · GalatasarayBefore kick-off: 15% · 22% · 62%
Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 2% · 98%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- I. Egribayat 88' (og)
We gave Galatasaray 62% to win: they did.
- 61'R. Leao 2309 0 for L. Sane 2168 +2
Galatasaray:R. Leao 2309 0 for L. Sane 2168 +2 - 61'Y. Akgun 2253 +4 for B. Yilmaz 2276 +8
Galatasaray:Y. Akgun 2253 +4 for B. Yilmaz 2276 +8 - 61'I. Gundogan 1971 −13* for Gabriel Sara 2271 +3
Galatasaray:I. Gundogan 1971 −13* for Gabriel Sara 2271 +3 - 70'I. Jakobs 2274 +2 for E. Elmali 2221 +12
Galatasaray:I. Jakobs 2274 +2 for E. Elmali 2221 +12 - V. Orakpo 1636 0 for T. Gouveia 1821 072'
Gençlerbirliği S.K.:V. Orakpo 1636 0 for T. Gouveia 1821 0 - O. Ulgun 1973 −9* for S. Ucan 1758 −572'
Gençlerbirliği S.K.:O. Ulgun 1973 −9* for S. Ucan 1758 −5 - 77'D. Gul 1922 +2 for R. Leao 2309 0
Galatasaray:D. Gul 1922 +2 for R. Leao 2309 0 - G. Erdem 1108 −8* for R. Luis 1664 080'
Gençlerbirliği S.K.:G. Erdem 1108 −8* for R. Luis 1664 0 - 88'I. Egribayat 2132 −4 (own goal)
Galatasaray:I. Egribayat 2132 −4 (own goal) - 90'V. Osimhen 2326 +9
Galatasaray:V. Osimhen 2326 +9 - P. Martor 1484 0 for O. Diabate 1715 090+1'
Gençlerbirliği S.K.:P. Martor 1484 0 for O. Diabate 1715 0 - S. Koita 1882 −8* for F. Uzum 1729 −190+1'
Gençlerbirliği S.K.:S. Koita 1882 −8* for F. Uzum 1729 −1
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 15% · 22% · 62%(Gençlerbirliği S.K. · draw · Galatasaray)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–1 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Gençlerbirliği S.K. €1.1M, Galatasaray €12.5M.
- Galatasaray were without 1 expected starter: L. Torreira (2273).
- Style contrast in possession (Süper Lig): Gençlerbirliği S.K. ranked #16 of 18, Galatasaray #2.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
13th in Süper Lig · 8 pts from 7
- 10 OctDAmed Turkey Super Lig1813
- 19 SepLBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1866
- 13 SepLKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1868
- 6 SepLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1870
- 28 AugDErzurumspor FK Turkey Super Lig1916
Galatasaray
1st in Süper Lig · 16 pts from 7
- 13 OctLBarcelona UEFA Champions League2232
- 9 OctWKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig2201
- 19 SepLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig2250
- 13 SepWKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig2250
- 9 SepLSporting CP UEFA Champions League2251
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 8 /7 | 38.7 | 0% | <1% | 24% | 15th |
| Galatasaray | 16 /7 | 70.2 | 33% | 98% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Gençlerbirliği S.K. · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1944

Galatasaray · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1885
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gençlerbirliği S.K.: balanced profile (how Bernd Storck plays) · Galatasaray: creative · shot-heavy (how Okan Buruk plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.