Süper Lig · Regular Season - 11
Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa
Fri 6 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Gaziantep FK host Kasımpaşa on Fri 6 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gaziantep FK 36%, draw 29%, Kasımpaşa 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gaziantep FK €844K, Kasımpaşa €1.5M.
- Home advantage makes Gaziantep FK the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gaziantep FK goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Gaziantep FK 1751 · Kasımpaşa 1842
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gaziantep FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1716
Kasımpaşa · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2027
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gaziantep FK
14th in Süper Lig · 8 pts from 8
- 18 OctLBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1765
- 11 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1780
- 19 SepLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1770
- 14 SepDFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1761
- 7 SepWGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1712
Kasımpaşa
7th in Süper Lig · 13 pts from 8
- 18 OctWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1835
- 9 OctLGalatasaray Turkey Super Lig1847
- 18 SepDKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1792
- 13 SepWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1765
- 6 SepDAmed Turkey Super Lig1825
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 8 /8 | 33.2 | 0% | 0% | 56% | 17th |
| Kasımpaşa | 13 /8 | 44.2 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gaziantep FK: balanced profile (how Orhan Ak plays) · Kasımpaşa: balanced profile (how Emre Belözoğlu plays)