Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Gaziantep Stadyumu, Gaziantep
Gaziantep FK host Erzurumspor FK on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gaziantep FK 39%, draw 29%, Erzurumspor FK 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gaziantep FK €844K, Erzurumspor FK €617K.
- Home advantage makes Gaziantep FK the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Süper Lig): Gaziantep FK rank #4 of 18, Erzurumspor FK #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gaziantep FK goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Gaziantep FK 1766 · Erzurumspor FK 1814
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gaziantep FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1716
Erzurumspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1766
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gaziantep FK
14th in Süper Lig · 8 pts from 8
- 18 OctLBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1765
- 11 OctLÇorum FK Turkey Super Lig1780
- 19 SepLKocaelispor Turkey Super Lig1770
- 14 SepDFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig1761
- 7 SepWGöztepe Turkey Super Lig1712
Erzurumspor FK
11th in Süper Lig · 11 pts from 8
- 17 OctWEyüpspor Turkey Super Lig1798
- 10 OctDAlanyaspor Turkey Super Lig1808
- 20 SepWSamsunspor Turkey Super Lig1789
- 11 SepLBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1795
- 5 SepWKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1780
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaziantep FK | 8 /8 | 34.0 | 0% | 0% | 51% | 17th |
| Erzurumspor FK | 11 /8 | 39.8 | 0% | <1% | 17% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gaziantep FK: balanced profile (how Orhan Ak plays) · Erzurumspor FK: balanced profile (how Serkan Özbalta plays)