K League 1 · Championship Group - 36
Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Chuncheon Songam Stadium, Chuncheon
Gangwon FC host Daejeon Citizen on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (K League 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gangwon FC 34%, draw 29%, Daejeon Citizen 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gangwon FC €450K, Daejeon Citizen €619K.
- Daejeon Citizen's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.7 over 180 days.
- All 11 of Daejeon Citizen's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gangwon FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–111%
- 1–010%
- 0–010%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Gangwon FC 1623 · Daejeon Citizen 1711
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gangwon FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1714
Daejeon Citizen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 (Below) · Elo 1741
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gangwon FC
5th in K League 1 · 48 pts from 33
- 8 NovWJeonbuk Motors K League 11619
- 5 NovLKuching FA AFC Cup1424
- 1 NovLUlsan Hyundai FC K League 11645
- 29 OctWKuching FA AFC Cup1625
- 24 OctDFC Seoul K League 11644
Daejeon Citizen
3rd in K League 1 · 49 pts from 33
- 8 NovWIncheon United K League 11694
- 3 NovLKashiwa Reysol AFC Champions League1677
- 31 OctDJeonbuk Motors K League 11706
- 27 OctLVissel Kobe AFC Champions League1715
- 24 OctWGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11697
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | 51 /35 | 55.0 | 0% | 55% | 0% | 4th |
| Daejeon Citizen | 53 /35 | 57.2 | 0% | 87% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gangwon FC: balanced profile (how Kyung-Ho Chung plays) · Daejeon Citizen: balanced profile (how Sun-Hong Hwang plays)