K League 1 · Regular Season - 31
Gangwon FC 2–0 Bucheon FC 1995
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 07:30 UTC · Gangneung Stadium, Gangneung
Gangwon FCTeam 1602Bucheon FC 1995Team 1511We gave Gangwon FC 49% to win: they did.
Before kick-off (provisional): 49% · 27% · 24%(Gangwon FC · draw · Bucheon FC 1995)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gangwon FC €369K, Bucheon FC 1995 €267K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gangwon FC
5th in K League 1 · 43 pts from 30
- 27 SepDIncheon United K League 11625
- 20 SepLJeju United FC K League 11582
- 13 SepDGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11550
- 9 SepDJeonbuk Motors K League 11607
- 6 SepWFC Anyang K League 11569
Bucheon FC 1995
11th in K League 1 · 32 pts from 30
- 19 SepLGimcheon Sangmu FC K League 11516
- 12 SepDJeju United FC K League 11477
- 8 SepLIncheon United K League 11510
- 5 SepLDaejeon Citizen K League 11496
- 29 AugDFC Anyang K League 11592
Season outlook
From the K League 1 simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | 43 /30 | 47.4 | 0% | 44% | 0% | 5th |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 32 /30 | 35.5 | 0% | 0% | 97% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gangwon FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1653
Bucheon FC 1995 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1603
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –