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Premier Division · Regular Season - 34

Galway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway

Galway United crestGalway UnitedTeam 1411
2–0
Full time
HT 2–0
Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock RoversTeam 1681

Match story

Galway United · draw · Shamrock Rovers

Before kick-off: 22% · 27% · 51%

Live chances: Galway United 100%, draw 0%, Shamrock Rovers 0% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · Galway United 22%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 51%2' · 0–0 · Galway United 22%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 51%3' · 1–0 · Galway United 48%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 26%4' · 1–0 · Galway United 48%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 26%5' · 1–0 · Galway United 48%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 26%6' · 1–0 · Galway United 49%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 25%7' · 1–0 · Galway United 49%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 25%8' · 1–0 · Galway United 49%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 25%9' · 1–0 · Galway United 49%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 25%10' · 1–0 · Galway United 49%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 24%11' · 1–0 · Galway United 50%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 24%12' · 1–0 · Galway United 50%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 24%13' · 1–0 · Galway United 50%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 24%14' · 1–0 · Galway United 50%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 23%15' · 1–0 · Galway United 50%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 23%16' · 1–0 · Galway United 51%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 23%17' · 1–0 · Galway United 51%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 23%18' · 1–0 · Galway United 51%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 22%19' · 1–0 · Galway United 51%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 22%20' · 1–0 · Galway United 51%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 22%21' · 1–0 · Galway United 52%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 22%22' · 1–0 · Galway United 52%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 21%23' · 1–0 · Galway United 52%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 21%24' · 1–0 · Galway United 52%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 21%25' · 1–0 · Galway United 53%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 21%26' · 1–0 · Galway United 53%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 20%27' · 1–0 · Galway United 53%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 20%28' · 1–0 · Galway United 53%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 20%29' · 1–0 · Galway United 53%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 20%30' · 1–0 · Galway United 54%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 19%31' · 1–0 · Galway United 54%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 19%32' · 1–0 · Galway United 54%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 19%33' · 1–0 · Galway United 55%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 18%34' · 1–0 · Galway United 55%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 18%35' · 1–0 · Galway United 55%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 18%36' · 1–0 · Galway United 55%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 18%37' · 1–0 · Galway United 56%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 17%38' · 1–0 · Galway United 56%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 17%39' · 1–0 · Galway United 56%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 17%40' · 1–0 · Galway United 57%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 16%41' · 1–0 · Galway United 57%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 16%42' · 1–0 · Galway United 57%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 16%43' · 2–0 · Galway United 87%, draw 10%, Shamrock Rovers 3%44' · 2–0 · Galway United 87%, draw 10%, Shamrock Rovers 3%45' · 2–0 · Galway United 87%, draw 10%, Shamrock Rovers 3%45+1' · 2–0 · Galway United 87%, draw 10%, Shamrock Rovers 3%HT · 2–0 · Galway United 88%, draw 9%, Shamrock Rovers 3%46' · 2–0 · Galway United 88%, draw 9%, Shamrock Rovers 3%47' · 2–0 · Galway United 88%, draw 9%, Shamrock Rovers 3%48' · 2–0 · Galway United 89%, draw 9%, Shamrock Rovers 3%49' · 2–0 · Galway United 89%, draw 9%, Shamrock Rovers 2%50' · 2–0 · Galway United 89%, draw 8%, Shamrock Rovers 2%51' · 2–0 · Galway United 90%, draw 8%, Shamrock Rovers 2%52' · 2–0 · Galway United 90%, draw 8%, Shamrock Rovers 2%54' · 2–0 · Galway United 91%, draw 8%, Shamrock Rovers 2%55' · 2–0 · Galway United 91%, draw 7%, Shamrock Rovers 2%56' · 2–0 · Galway United 91%, draw 7%, Shamrock Rovers 2%58' · 2–0 · Galway United 92%, draw 7%, Shamrock Rovers 1%59' · 2–0 · Galway United 92%, draw 6%, Shamrock Rovers 1%60' · 2–0 · Galway United 92%, draw 6%, Shamrock Rovers 1%61' · 2–0 · Galway United 93%, draw 6%, Shamrock Rovers 1%62' · 2–0 · Galway United 93%, draw 6%, Shamrock Rovers 1%63' · 2–0 · Galway United 93%, draw 6%, Shamrock Rovers 1%64' · 2–0 · Galway United 94%, draw 5%, Shamrock Rovers 1%65' · 2–0 · Galway United 94%, draw 5%, Shamrock Rovers 1%66' · 2–0 · Galway United 94%, draw 5%, Shamrock Rovers 1%67' · 2–0 · Galway United 94%, draw 5%, Shamrock Rovers 1%68' · 2–0 · Galway United 95%, draw 5%, Shamrock Rovers 1%69' · 2–0 · Galway United 95%, draw 4%, Shamrock Rovers 1%70' · 2–0 · Galway United 95%, draw 4%, Shamrock Rovers 1%71' · 2–0 · Galway United 96%, draw 4%, Shamrock Rovers 1%72' · 2–0 · Galway United 96%, draw 4%, Shamrock Rovers 1%73' · 2–0 · Galway United 96%, draw 4%, Shamrock Rovers 0%74' · 2–0 · Galway United 96%, draw 3%, Shamrock Rovers 0%75' · 2–0 · Galway United 97%, draw 3%, Shamrock Rovers 0%76' · 2–0 · Galway United 97%, draw 3%, Shamrock Rovers 0%77' · 2–0 · Galway United 97%, draw 3%, Shamrock Rovers 0%78' · 2–0 · Galway United 97%, draw 3%, Shamrock Rovers 0%79' · 2–0 · Galway United 97%, draw 2%, Shamrock Rovers 0%80' · 2–0 · Galway United 98%, draw 2%, Shamrock Rovers 0%81' · 2–0 · Galway United 98%, draw 2%, Shamrock Rovers 0%82' · 2–0 · Galway United 98%, draw 2%, Shamrock Rovers 0%83' · 2–0 · Galway United 98%, draw 2%, Shamrock Rovers 0%84' · 2–0 · Galway United 99%, draw 1%, Shamrock Rovers 0%85' · 2–0 · Galway United 99%, draw 1%, Shamrock Rovers 0%86' · 2–0 · Galway United 99%, draw 1%, Shamrock Rovers 0%87' · 2–0 · Galway United 99%, draw 1%, Shamrock Rovers 0%88' · 2–0 · Galway United 99%, draw 1%, Shamrock Rovers 0%89' · 2–0 · Galway United 99%, draw 1%, Shamrock Rovers 0%90' · 2–0 · Galway United 100%, draw 0%, Shamrock Rovers 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Galway United 100%, draw 0%, Shamrock Rovers 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Shamrock Rovers 51% to win: Galway United won.

  1. 2'Galway United:Jimmy Keohane 1392 +52*
  2. 15'Shamrock Rovers:Matthew Healy 1704 −7
  3. 42'Galway United:Aaron Bolger 1478 +32*
  4. 45'Shamrock Rovers:Jonathan Afolabi 1559 0 for Jake Mulraney 1621 −4
  5. 45'Shamrock Rovers:Adam Brennan 1606 −9* for Matthew Healy 1704 −7
  6. 66'Shamrock Rovers:William Fitzgerald 1495 −1 for John O'Reilly-O'Sullivan 1367 0
  7. 68'Shamrock Rovers:John McGovern 1602 0
  8. 78'Shamrock Rovers:Daniel Grant 1711 −10* for Daniel Cleary 1676 −12
  9. 82'Galway United:Matthew Wolfe 1402 −6* for Ed McCarthy 1470 +5*
  10. 89'Shamrock Rovers:Tunmise Sobowale 1706 −16
  11. 89'Galway United:Dylan Connolly 1372 −10* for Stephen Walsh 1285 +17*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-5-2Formations3-1-4-2
GE. McGinty1726−18
DD. Cleary1676−12
DPico1698−57
DL. Grace1612−15
MM. Healy1704−7
MJ. Mulraney1621−4
MD. Watts1677−13
MJ. Byrne1653−19
MT. Sobowale1706−16
FJ. McGovern16020
FG. Burke1670−15
CS. Bradley1707−32
Before kick-off: 22% · 27% · 51%(Galway United · draw · Shamrock Rovers)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 4%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Galway United €136K, Shamrock Rovers €340K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Premier Division matchday 34: 235 points.
  • Premier Division: E. McGinty was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1743).
  • Style contrast in possession (Premier Division): Galway United ranked #10 of 11, Shamrock Rovers #1.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Galway United

7th in Premier Division · 38 pts from 32

  • 25 SepDShelbourne 1405
  • 18 SepLDerry City 1413
  • 14 SepWSligo Rovers 1388
  • 11 SepLBohemians 1399
  • 28 AugDShelbourne 1422

Shamrock Rovers

1st in Premier Division · 65 pts from 33

  • 12 OctWBohemians 1653
  • 8 OctWDrogheda United 1660
  • 18 SepWWaterford 1603
  • 11 SepLSt Patrick's Athl. 1655
  • 4 SepDShelbourne 1667

Season outlook

From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Galway United38 /3242.30%2%29%7th
Shamrock Rovers65 /3370.590%100%0%1st
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Hurley
D. Hurley

Galway United · +5.7 (Elite) · Elo 1470

M. Healy
M. Healy

Shamrock Rovers · +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1711

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

John Caulfield

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Stephen Bradley

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Galway United: direct (how John Caulfield plays) · Shamrock Rovers: possession-based (how Stephen Bradley plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.