Süper Lig · Regular Season - 12
Galatasaray vs Samsunspor
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Rams Park, Istanbul
Galatasaray host Samsunspor on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Galatasaray 75%, draw 16%, Samsunspor 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Galatasaray €13.0M, Samsunspor €2.0M.
- Draw chance 16%, below the Süper Lig average of 24% this round.
- Style contrast in attacking (Süper Lig): Galatasaray rank #1 of 18, Samsunspor #16.
- Galatasaray have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Galatasaray goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 3–18%
- 1–08%
- 1–17%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Galatasaray 2264 · Samsunspor 1856
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Galatasaray · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 2096
Samsunspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1925
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Galatasaray
1st in Süper Lig · 28 pts from 11
- 7 NovWAmed Turkey Super Lig2276
- 3 NovWVfB Stuttgart UEFA Champions League2271
- 30 OctWKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig2261
- 26 OctWFenerbahçe Turkey Super Lig2242
- 21 OctWLille UEFA Champions League2229
Samsunspor
17th in Süper Lig · 7 pts from 11
- 7 NovWKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1790
- 1 NovLBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1827
- 24 OctLAmed Turkey Super Lig1815
- 18 OctLKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1848
- 10 OctLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig1871
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 28 /11 | 76.9 | 71% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Samsunspor | 7 /11 | 34.7 | 0% | 0% | 36% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Galatasaray: creative · shot-heavy (how Okan Buruk plays) · Samsunspor: balanced profile (how Nenad Bjelica plays)