Süper Lig · Regular Season - 11
Galatasaray vs Amed
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Rams Park, Istanbul
Galatasaray host Amed on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Süper Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Galatasaray 70%, draw 19%, Amed 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Galatasaray €10.3M, Amed €1.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Süper Lig matchday 11: 325 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the Süper Lig average of 26% this round.
- Amed are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Galatasaray goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Galatasaray 2232 · Amed 1907
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Galatasaray · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2011
Amed · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1974
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Galatasaray
1st in Süper Lig · 19 pts from 8
- 21 OctWLille UEFA Champions League2240
- 17 OctWGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig2207
- 13 OctLBarcelona UEFA Champions League2232
- 9 OctWKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig2201
- 19 SepLTrabzonspor Turkey Super Lig2250
Amed
2nd in Süper Lig · 17 pts from 8
- 17 OctWKonyaspor Turkey Super Lig1922
- 10 OctDGençlerbirliği S.K. Turkey Super Lig1918
- 20 SepWBeşiktaş Turkey Super Lig1873
- 13 SepWBaşakşehir Turkey Super Lig1874
- 6 SepDKasımpaşa Turkey Super Lig1853
Season outlook
From the Süper Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 19 /8 | 72.1 | 42% | 99% | 0% | 1st |
| Amed | 17 /8 | 50.8 | <1% | 6% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Galatasaray: creative · shot-heavy (how Okan Buruk plays) · Amed: possession-based · creative (how Besnik Hasi plays)