Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 29
Gais vs Vasteras SK FK
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Gais host Vasteras SK FK on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gais 43%, draw 28%, Vasteras SK FK 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gais €580K, Vasteras SK FK €402K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Allsvenskan): Gais rank #16 of 18, Vasteras SK FK #3.
- Vasteras SK FK's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gais goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 0–18%
- 2–08%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Gais 1618 · Vasteras SK FK 1594
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gais · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1704
Vasteras SK FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1666
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gais
9th in Allsvenskan · 40 pts from 28
- 7 NovWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1673
- 2 NovWAIK Stockholm Allsvenskan1618
- 29 OctWKalmar FF Allsvenskan1548
- 25 OctDIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1602
- 18 OctLOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1572
Vasteras SK FK
6th in Allsvenskan · 45 pts from 28
- 7 NovDOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1609
- 1 NovWIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1609
- 28 OctWDegerfors IF Allsvenskan1594
- 23 OctLHalmstad Allsvenskan1603
- 18 OctWMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1574
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gais | 40 /28 | 42.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
| Vasteras SK FK | 45 /28 | 47.1 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gais: dribble-heavy (how F. Holmberg plays) · Vasteras SK FK: balanced profile (how Alexander Rubin plays)