Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 27
Gais vs AIK Stockholm
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Gais host AIK Stockholm on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Allsvenskan); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Gais 36%, draw 29%, AIK Stockholm 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Gais €389K, AIK Stockholm €621K.
- Home advantage makes Gais the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Allsvenskan): Gais rank #2 of 16, AIK Stockholm #13.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Gais goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Gais 1581 · AIK Stockholm 1649
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Gais · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Good) · Elo 1669
AIK Stockholm · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1725
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Gais
10th in Allsvenskan · 30 pts from 24
- 18 OctLOrgryte IS Allsvenskan1581
- 10 OctLSirius Allsvenskan1577
- 20 SepWMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1560
- 14 SepLDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan1566
- 5 SepDBK Hacken Allsvenskan1600
AIK Stockholm
9th in Allsvenskan · 34 pts from 24
- 17 OctDIFK Goteborg Allsvenskan1666
- 10 OctLIF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan1686
- 20 SepLHalmstad Allsvenskan1683
- 16 SepDMjallby AIF Allsvenskan1697
- 12 SepLVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan1686
Season outlook
From the Allsvenskan simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gais | 30 /24 | 37.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11th |
| AIK Stockholm | 34 /24 | 42.5 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: possession-based · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Gais: dribble-heavy (how Fredrik Jakob Holmberg plays) · AIK Stockholm: balanced profile (how José Luis Riveiro plays)