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Erovnuli Liga · Regular Season - 29

Gagra 1–3 Dinamo Batumi

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Mtskheta Park, Tbilisi

Gagra crestGagraTeam 1297
1–3
Full time
HT 0–2
Dinamo Batumi crestDinamo BatumiTeam 1602

Match story

Gagra · draw · Dinamo Batumi

Before kick-off: 20% · 27% · 53%

Live chances: Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Gagra 20%, draw 27%, Dinamo Batumi 53%2' · 0–0 · Gagra 20%, draw 27%, Dinamo Batumi 53%3' · 0–0 · Gagra 20%, draw 27%, Dinamo Batumi 53%4' · 0–0 · Gagra 20%, draw 27%, Dinamo Batumi 53%6' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 72%7' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 72%8' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 72%9' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 72%10' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 72%11' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%12' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%13' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%14' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%15' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%16' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%17' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%18' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%19' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%20' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%21' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%22' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%23' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%24' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%25' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%26' · 0–1 · Gagra 9%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%27' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%29' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 72%30' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%31' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%32' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%33' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%34' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%35' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%36' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%37' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%38' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%39' · 0–1 · Gagra 8%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%40' · 0–1 · Gagra 7%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%41' · 0–1 · Gagra 7%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%42' · 0–1 · Gagra 7%, draw 19%, Dinamo Batumi 73%43' · 0–1 · Gagra 7%, draw 20%, Dinamo Batumi 73%44' · 0–1 · Gagra 7%, draw 20%, Dinamo Batumi 73%45' · 0–1 · Gagra 7%, draw 20%, Dinamo Batumi 73%45+1' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%45+2' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%45+3' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%45+4' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%HT · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%46' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%47' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%48' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%49' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 94%50' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 95%51' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 5%, Dinamo Batumi 95%52' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 95%53' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 95%54' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 95%55' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 95%56' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 95%57' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 96%58' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 96%59' · 0–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 96%60' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 4%, Dinamo Batumi 96%61' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Batumi 96%62' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Batumi 96%63' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Batumi 96%64' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Batumi 96%65' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Batumi 97%66' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 3%, Dinamo Batumi 97%67' · 1–2 · Gagra 4%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 78%68' · 1–2 · Gagra 4%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 79%69' · 1–2 · Gagra 3%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 79%70' · 1–2 · Gagra 3%, draw 18%, Dinamo Batumi 79%71' · 1–2 · Gagra 3%, draw 17%, Dinamo Batumi 80%72' · 1–2 · Gagra 3%, draw 17%, Dinamo Batumi 80%73' · 1–2 · Gagra 3%, draw 17%, Dinamo Batumi 80%74' · 1–2 · Gagra 3%, draw 17%, Dinamo Batumi 81%75' · 1–2 · Gagra 2%, draw 16%, Dinamo Batumi 81%76' · 1–2 · Gagra 2%, draw 16%, Dinamo Batumi 82%77' · 1–2 · Gagra 2%, draw 16%, Dinamo Batumi 82%78' · 1–2 · Gagra 2%, draw 15%, Dinamo Batumi 83%79' · 1–2 · Gagra 2%, draw 15%, Dinamo Batumi 83%80' · 1–2 · Gagra 2%, draw 14%, Dinamo Batumi 84%81' · 1–2 · Gagra 2%, draw 14%, Dinamo Batumi 84%82' · 1–2 · Gagra 1%, draw 13%, Dinamo Batumi 85%83' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Batumi 99%84' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Batumi 99%85' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Batumi 99%86' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Batumi 99%87' · 0–2 · Gagra 0%, draw 1%, Dinamo Batumi 99%88' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%89' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%90' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%90+1' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%90+2' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%90+3' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%90+4' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%90+5' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%90+6' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%90+7' · 1–3 · Gagra 0%, draw 0%, Dinamo Batumi 100%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Dinamo Batumi 53% to win: they did.

  1. 5'Dinamo Batumi:Paulo Vítor 1598 +20*
  2. 42'Gagra:zurab tchavchanidze 1335 0
  3. 44'Dinamo Batumi:Maurides Roque Junior 1688 +19 (pen.)
  4. 46'Gagra:davit mujiri 1307 for Andrey andreychuk 1223 −8*
  5. 53'Gagra:pedro borges 1336 0
  6. 59'Gagra:Luka Gurchiani 1166 for pedro borges 1336 0
  7. 60'Gagra:Luka Gurchiani 1166
  8. 60'Dinamo Batumi:A. Eshetiye 1391 for Levan Shengelia 1801 +6*
  9. 67'Gagra:davit mujiri 1307 (pen.)
  10. 67'Gagra:alexander feikrishvili for Guram Goshteliani 1449 −11
  11. 72'Dinamo Batumi:Dmitri Mandricenco 1394 for Maurides Roque Junior 1688 +19
  12. 72'Dinamo Batumi:Nika Kalandarishvili 1374 for Imran Omar Oulad 1689 +21
  13. 75'Gagra:Mate Tsintsadze 1274 −11*
  14. 76'Gagra:Illia skrypnyk 1304 for Vladimir·Arsic 1282 −8*
  15. 76'Gagra:Givi khachidze 1202 for Viktor Bliznichenko 1352 −10*
  16. 79'Dinamo Batumi:Artem Milchenko 1428 for Luka Lakvekheliani 1520 +25*
  17. 83'Dinamo Batumi:Nika Kalandarishvili 1374

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-2-3-1
GO. Vorobey1312−1
DClaudinei13150
DZ. Tchavtchanidze13350
DAugusto13190
DV. Arsić1282−8*
MM. Tsintsadze1274−11*
DP. Borges13360
FG. Goshteliani1449−11
MWanderson1222−7
FV. Bliznichenko1352−10*
FA. Andreychuk1223−8*
CŽ. Ljubenović13090
GN. Kalichava1544+32
DI. Turitsov1748+19
DM. Kobakhidze1455+32
DD. Carlson1936+8
DL. Lakvekheliani1520+25*
MU. Mara1499+26*
MS. Altunashvili1734+18
FL. Shengelia1801+6*
MI. Oulad Omar1689+21
FPaulo Vitor1598+20*
FMaurides1688+19
CGiorgi Chiabrishvili1516+34
Before kick-off: 20% · 27% · 53%(Gagra · draw · Dinamo Batumi)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Gagra €131K, Dinamo Batumi €401K.
  • Largest team-Elo gap of Erovnuli Liga matchday 29: 270 points.
  • Erovnuli Liga: D. Carlson was the highest-rated defender (1928).
  • Dinamo Batumi were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Gagra

8th in Erovnuli Liga · 29 pts from 28

  • 11 OctLSamgurali 1318
  • 19 SepDMeshakhte 1284
  • 14 SepLDinamo Tbilisi 1323
  • 10 SepDTorpedo Kutaisi 1289
  • 5 SepLDila 1329

Dinamo Batumi

1st in Erovnuli Liga · 50 pts from 28

  • 11 OctWDinamo Tbilisi 1587
  • 20 SepWTorpedo Kutaisi 1533
  • 13 SepDDila 1548
  • 9 SepWFC Iberia 1999 1538
  • 4 SepWRustavi 1427

Season outlook

From the Erovnuli Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Gagra29 /2838.00%0%91%8th
Dinamo Batumi50 /2864.756%100%0%1st
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Erovnuli Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

I. Turitsov
I. Turitsov

Dinamo Batumi · +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1729

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Željko Ljubenović

Coach DNA: –

Giorgi Chiabrishvili

Coach DNA: –

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.