Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Fulham vs Newcastle
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Craven Cottage, London
Fulham host Newcastle on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fulham 31%, draw 29%, Newcastle 40%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fulham €15.7M, Newcastle €29.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fulham goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.4 pts
Team Elo: Fulham 2174 · Newcastle 2312
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fulham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2282
Newcastle · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2397
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fulham
18th in Premier League · 5 pts from 7
- 17 OctWHull City Premier League2198
- 10 OctLIpswich Premier League2199
- 20 SepDManchester United Premier League2186
- 15 SepWWest Ham England League Cup2118
- 12 SepDLiverpool Premier League2167
Newcastle
11th in Premier League · 8 pts from 7
- 17 OctLAston Villa Premier League2358
- 12 OctLCoventry Premier League2368
- 19 SepWHull City Premier League2288
- 14 SepLLeeds Premier League2350
- 8 SepWMillwall England League Cup2349
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 5 /7 | 37.2 | 0% | 0% | 49% | 19th |
| Newcastle | 8 /7 | 49.9 | 0% | 4% | 3% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fulham: balanced profile (how Alvaro Arbeloa plays) · Newcastle: balanced profile (how Matthias Jaissle plays)