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Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Fulham 1–0 Hull City

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Craven Cottage, London

Fulham crestFulhamTeam 2231
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Hull City crestHull CityTeam 2046

Match story

Fulham · draw · Hull City

Before kick-off: 57% · 24% · 19%

Live chances: Fulham 100%, draw 0%, Hull City 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Fulham 57%, draw 24%, Hull City 19%2' · 0–0 · Fulham 57%, draw 24%, Hull City 19%3' · 0–0 · Fulham 57%, draw 24%, Hull City 19%4' · 0–0 · Fulham 57%, draw 24%, Hull City 19%5' · 0–0 · Fulham 57%, draw 24%, Hull City 19%6' · 0–0 · Fulham 56%, draw 24%, Hull City 19%7' · 0–0 · Fulham 56%, draw 25%, Hull City 19%8' · 0–0 · Fulham 56%, draw 25%, Hull City 19%9' · 0–0 · Fulham 56%, draw 25%, Hull City 19%10' · 0–0 · Fulham 56%, draw 25%, Hull City 19%11' · 0–0 · Fulham 55%, draw 25%, Hull City 19%12' · 0–0 · Fulham 55%, draw 25%, Hull City 19%13' · 0–0 · Fulham 55%, draw 25%, Hull City 19%14' · 0–0 · Fulham 55%, draw 26%, Hull City 20%15' · 0–0 · Fulham 55%, draw 26%, Hull City 20%16' · 0–0 · Fulham 54%, draw 26%, Hull City 20%17' · 0–0 · Fulham 54%, draw 26%, Hull City 20%18' · 0–0 · Fulham 54%, draw 26%, Hull City 20%19' · 0–0 · Fulham 54%, draw 26%, Hull City 20%20' · 0–0 · Fulham 54%, draw 27%, Hull City 20%21' · 0–0 · Fulham 53%, draw 27%, Hull City 20%22' · 0–0 · Fulham 53%, draw 27%, Hull City 20%23' · 0–0 · Fulham 53%, draw 27%, Hull City 20%24' · 0–0 · Fulham 53%, draw 27%, Hull City 20%25' · 0–0 · Fulham 53%, draw 28%, Hull City 20%26' · 0–0 · Fulham 52%, draw 28%, Hull City 20%27' · 0–0 · Fulham 52%, draw 28%, Hull City 20%28' · 0–0 · Fulham 52%, draw 28%, Hull City 20%29' · 0–0 · Fulham 52%, draw 28%, Hull City 20%30' · 0–0 · Fulham 51%, draw 29%, Hull City 20%31' · 0–0 · Fulham 51%, draw 29%, Hull City 20%32' · 0–0 · Fulham 51%, draw 29%, Hull City 20%33' · 0–0 · Fulham 51%, draw 29%, Hull City 20%34' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%35' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%36' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%37' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%38' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%39' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%40' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%41' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%42' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%43' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%44' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%45' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 6%45+1' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 5%45+2' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 5%HT · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 5%46' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 16%, Hull City 5%47' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 17%, Hull City 5%48' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 17%, Hull City 5%49' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 17%, Hull City 5%50' · 1–0 · Fulham 78%, draw 17%, Hull City 5%51' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 5%52' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 5%53' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 5%54' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 5%55' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 4%56' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 4%57' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 4%58' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 4%59' · 1–0 · Fulham 79%, draw 17%, Hull City 4%60' · 1–0 · Fulham 80%, draw 16%, Hull City 4%61' · 1–0 · Fulham 80%, draw 16%, Hull City 4%62' · 1–0 · Fulham 80%, draw 16%, Hull City 4%63' · 1–0 · Fulham 80%, draw 16%, Hull City 4%64' · 1–0 · Fulham 80%, draw 16%, Hull City 3%65' · 1–0 · Fulham 80%, draw 16%, Hull City 3%66' · 1–0 · Fulham 81%, draw 16%, Hull City 3%67' · 1–0 · Fulham 81%, draw 16%, Hull City 3%68' · 1–0 · Fulham 81%, draw 16%, Hull City 3%69' · 1–0 · Fulham 81%, draw 16%, Hull City 3%70' · 1–0 · Fulham 82%, draw 16%, Hull City 3%71' · 1–0 · Fulham 82%, draw 15%, Hull City 3%72' · 1–0 · Fulham 82%, draw 15%, Hull City 3%73' · 1–0 · Fulham 83%, draw 15%, Hull City 2%74' · 1–0 · Fulham 83%, draw 15%, Hull City 2%75' · 1–0 · Fulham 83%, draw 15%, Hull City 2%76' · 1–0 · Fulham 84%, draw 14%, Hull City 2%77' · 1–0 · Fulham 84%, draw 14%, Hull City 2%78' · 1–0 · Fulham 84%, draw 14%, Hull City 2%79' · 1–0 · Fulham 85%, draw 13%, Hull City 2%80' · 1–0 · Fulham 85%, draw 13%, Hull City 1%81' · 1–0 · Fulham 86%, draw 13%, Hull City 1%82' · 1–0 · Fulham 86%, draw 12%, Hull City 1%83' · 1–0 · Fulham 87%, draw 12%, Hull City 1%84' · 1–0 · Fulham 88%, draw 11%, Hull City 1%85' · 1–0 · Fulham 88%, draw 11%, Hull City 1%86' · 1–0 · Fulham 89%, draw 10%, Hull City 1%87' · 1–0 · Fulham 90%, draw 10%, Hull City 1%88' · 1–0 · Fulham 90%, draw 9%, Hull City 1%89' · 1–0 · Fulham 91%, draw 8%, Hull City 0%90' · 1–0 · Fulham 92%, draw 7%, Hull City 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Fulham 93%, draw 7%, Hull City 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Fulham 94%, draw 6%, Hull City 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Fulham 95%, draw 4%, Hull City 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Fulham 97%, draw 3%, Hull City 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Fulham 97%, draw 3%, Hull City 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Fulham 99%, draw 1%, Hull City 0%90+7' · 1–0 · Fulham 100%, draw 0%, Hull City 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Fulham 57% to win: they did.

  1. 22'Hull City:Lucas Herrington 1906 −8*
  2. 27'Hull City:Regan Slater 2118 −1
  3. 27'Fulham:Josh King 1835 +16
  4. 33'Fulham:Alex Iwobi 2278 +18 assist Sander Berge 2431 +10
  5. 45'Hull City:Tim Iroegbunam 1971 0 for Lucas Herrington 1906 −8*
  6. 68'Hull City:Ryan Giles 2151 −1 for Brooke Norton-Cuffy 2007 −8*
  7. 68'Hull City:Joe Gelhardt 1975 0 for Sorba Thomas 1994 −1
  8. 68'Hull City:Robinio Vaz 1819 0 for Matt Crooks 2051 −5
  9. 75'Hull City:Hidemasa Morita 2263 −5 for Regan Slater 2118 −1
  10. 78'Fulham:Tom Cairney 1723 −9* for Oscar Bobb 2156 +24
  11. 78'Fulham:Ryan Sessegnon 2285 +1 for Josh King 1835 +16
  12. 84'Fulham:Sander Berge 2431 +10
  13. 85'Fulham:Cesar Palacios Perez 1704 −5* for Gonzalo García 2006 +13
  14. 90+4'Fulham:Ryan Sessegnon 2285 +1

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations5-4-1
GB. Leno2260+5
DT. Castagne2358+13
DD. Affengruber2160+27
DC. Bassey2329+17
DA. Robinson2325+8*
MS. Berge2431+10
MS. Charles2282+20
MOscar Bobb2156+24
MJoshua King1835+16
MA. Iwobi2278+18
FGonzalo García2006+13
CÁlvaro Arbeloa2329+12
GK. Tzolakis2320−12
DL. Coyle2049−3
DS. Ajayi2067−4
DJ. Egan2043−5
DL. Herrington1906−8*
DB. Norton-Cuffy2007−8*
MM. Belloumi20060
MM. Crooks2051−5
MR. Slater2118−1
MS. Thomas1994−1
FO. McBurnie2051−2
CS. Jakirović21080
Before kick-off: 57% · 24% · 19%(Fulham · draw · Hull City)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Fulham €16.0M, Hull City €5.0M.
  • Hull City were without 1 expected starter: N. Mendy (2058).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Fulham

20th in Premier League · 2 pts from 6

  • 10 OctLIpswich 2199
  • 20 SepDManchester United 2186
  • 15 SepWWest Ham 2118
  • 12 SepDLiverpool 2167
  • 5 SepLCrystal Palace 2111

Hull City

8th in Premier League · 9 pts from 6

  • 11 OctDEverton 2075
  • 19 SepLNewcastle 2056
  • 12 SepDChelsea 2058
  • 8 SepLSunderland 1938
  • 5 SepDAston Villa 2060

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Fulham2 /635.70%0%61%20th
Hull City9 /635.80%0%63%20th
Fulham
Hull City

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Charles
S. Charles

Fulham · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2262

L. Herrington
L. Herrington

Hull City · +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1913

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alvaro Arbeloa

Coach DNA: creative · possession-based

Sergej Jakirović

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Fulham: balanced profile (how Alvaro Arbeloa plays) · Hull City: balanced profile (how Sergej Jakirović plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.