Virsliga · Regular Season - 34
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
FS Jelgava host BFC Daugavpils on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Virsliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FS Jelgava 41%, draw 29%, BFC Daugavpils 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FS Jelgava €145K, BFC Daugavpils €155K.
- Home advantage makes FS Jelgava the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Draw chance 29%, above the Virsliga average of 23% this round.
- J. Novikovs (FS Jelgava) has not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FS Jelgava goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FS Jelgava 1277 · BFC Daugavpils 1286
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FS Jelgava
7th in Virsliga · 32 pts from 33
- 11 OctLRīgas FS Latvia Virsliga1243
- 29 AugWTukums Latvia Virsliga1259
- 31 MayDBFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga1250
- 26 MayDFK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga1246
- 21 MayLRīgas FS Latvia Virsliga1249
BFC Daugavpils
5th in Virsliga · 42 pts from 32
- 19 SepDFK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga1299
- 13 SepLRīgas FS Latvia Virsliga1309
- 7 SepDRiga Latvia Virsliga1268
- 29 AugLGrobiņa Latvia Virsliga1308
- 31 MayDFS Jelgava Latvia Virsliga1295
Season outlook
From the Virsliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS Jelgava | 32 /33 | 36.0 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 7th |
| BFC Daugavpils | 42 /32 | 46.9 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –