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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23

Fredrikstad 1–1 Tromso

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC · Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad crestFredrikstadTeam 1578
1–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Tromso crestTromsoTeam 1654

Match story

Fredrikstad · draw · Tromso

Before kick-off: 30% · 30% · 39%

Live chances: Fredrikstad 0%, draw 100%, Tromso 0% at 90+9'1' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 30%, Tromso 39%2' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 30%, Tromso 39%3' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 31%, Tromso 39%4' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 31%, Tromso 39%5' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 31%, Tromso 39%6' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 31%, Tromso 39%7' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 31%, Tromso 39%8' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 31%, Tromso 39%9' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 31%, Tromso 39%10' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 32%, Tromso 38%11' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 32%, Tromso 38%12' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 32%, Tromso 38%13' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 32%, Tromso 38%14' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 32%, Tromso 38%15' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 32%, Tromso 38%16' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 33%, Tromso 38%17' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 30%, draw 33%, Tromso 38%18' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 33%, Tromso 37%19' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 33%, Tromso 37%20' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 33%, Tromso 37%21' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 34%, Tromso 37%22' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 34%, Tromso 37%23' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 34%, Tromso 37%24' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 34%, Tromso 37%25' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 34%, Tromso 37%26' · 0–0 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 35%, Tromso 36%27' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 12%, draw 23%, Tromso 65%28' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 12%, draw 23%, Tromso 65%29' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 12%, draw 23%, Tromso 65%30' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 23%, Tromso 65%31' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 23%, Tromso 66%32' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 23%, Tromso 66%33' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 23%, Tromso 66%34' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 23%, Tromso 66%35' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 23%, Tromso 66%36' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 23%, Tromso 66%37' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 23%, Tromso 66%38' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 23%, Tromso 67%39' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 23%, Tromso 67%40' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 23%, Tromso 67%41' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 23%, Tromso 67%42' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 23%, Tromso 67%43' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 23%, Tromso 67%44' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 23%, Tromso 68%45' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 23%, Tromso 68%45+1' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 23%, Tromso 68%45+2' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 23%, Tromso 68%45+3' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 23%, Tromso 69%45+4' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 23%, Tromso 69%HT · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 23%, Tromso 69%47' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 8%, draw 23%, Tromso 69%48' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 8%, draw 23%, Tromso 69%50' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 8%, draw 23%, Tromso 70%51' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 8%, draw 23%, Tromso 70%52' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 7%, draw 22%, Tromso 70%53' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 14%, draw 29%, Tromso 57%54' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 13%, draw 29%, Tromso 57%55' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 13%, draw 29%, Tromso 58%56' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 13%, draw 29%, Tromso 59%57' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 12%, draw 29%, Tromso 59%58' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 12%, draw 29%, Tromso 60%59' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 28%, Tromso 60%60' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 28%, Tromso 61%61' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 28%, Tromso 62%62' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 28%, Tromso 62%63' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 28%, Tromso 63%64' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 27%, Tromso 63%65' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 27%, Tromso 64%66' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 8%, draw 27%, Tromso 65%67' · 0–1 · Fredrikstad 8%, draw 26%, Tromso 65%68' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 56%, Tromso 15%69' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 29%, draw 56%, Tromso 15%70' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 28%, draw 57%, Tromso 15%71' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 27%, draw 58%, Tromso 14%72' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 27%, draw 59%, Tromso 14%73' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 26%, draw 60%, Tromso 14%74' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 25%, draw 61%, Tromso 13%75' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 25%, draw 62%, Tromso 13%76' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 24%, draw 63%, Tromso 13%77' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 23%, draw 65%, Tromso 12%78' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 22%, draw 66%, Tromso 12%79' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 21%, draw 67%, Tromso 11%80' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 21%, draw 68%, Tromso 11%81' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 20%, draw 70%, Tromso 11%82' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 19%, draw 71%, Tromso 10%83' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 18%, draw 73%, Tromso 10%84' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 17%, draw 74%, Tromso 9%85' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 16%, draw 76%, Tromso 9%86' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 15%, draw 77%, Tromso 8%87' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 14%, draw 79%, Tromso 8%88' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 13%, draw 80%, Tromso 7%89' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 11%, draw 82%, Tromso 6%90' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 10%, draw 84%, Tromso 6%90+1' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 9%, draw 86%, Tromso 5%90+2' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 7%, draw 89%, Tromso 4%90+3' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 6%, draw 91%, Tromso 3%90+4' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 4%, draw 93%, Tromso 2%90+5' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 3%, draw 96%, Tromso 1%90+6' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 1%, draw 99%, Tromso 0%90+7' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 0%, draw 100%, Tromso 0%90+9' · 1–1 · Fredrikstad 0%, draw 100%, Tromso 0%

Last reading, 90+9': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Tromso 39% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 20'Fredrikstad:Max Nilsson 1529 −5*
  2. 25'Fredrikstad:Bryan Fiabema 1687 −6*
  3. 26'Tromso:Troy Engseth Nyhammer – assist Heine Asen Larsen 1705 −8*
  4. 31'Tromso:Vetle Skjaervik 1818 −9*
  5. 49'Tromso:Morten Bjorlo 1754 −11*
  6. 50'Tromso:Leon Hien 1620 −8*
  7. 54'Tromso:Vince Osuji 1561 −8* for Troy Engseth Nyhammer –
  8. 60'Fredrikstad:Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez 1511 −7* for Ulrik Tillung Fredriksen 1625 −6*
  9. 67'Fredrikstad:Fredrik Holme 1541 −1* assist Samuel Holm 1578 −4*
  10. 70'Tromso:Vegard Erlien 1596 −8* for Heine Asen Larsen 1705 −8*
  11. 70'Tromso:Lars Olden Larsen 1781 −9* for Morten Bjorlo 1754 −11*
  12. 78'Fredrikstad:Benjamin Thoresen Faraas 1504 −7* for Liam West 1331 −4*
  13. 78'Fredrikstad:Gabriel Wesseh 1342 −7* for Henrik Langaas Skogvold 1623 −6*
  14. 79'Tromso:Ruben Jenssen 1606 −20*
  15. 84'Fredrikstad:Simen Rafn 1453 −14* for Solomon Owusu 1558 −7*
  16. 88'Tromso:Jesper Andreas Grundt 1434 −8* for David Edvardsson 1756 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-3Formations5-3-2
GM. Børsheim1636−3*
DS. Owusu1558−7*
DF. Holmé1541−1*
DU. Fredriksen1625−6*
MD. Eid1618−7*
MS. Leach Holm1578−4*
MM. Nilsson1529−5*
MS. Sørløkk1571−7*
FL. West1331−4*
FH. Skogvold1623−6*
FB. Fiabema1687−6*
CCasper Röjkjaer1424−2*
GJ. Haugaard1742−11*
DS. Innvær1404−8*
DV. Skjærvik1818−9*
DL. Hien1620−8*
DI. Vådebu1739−8*
DA. Warneryd1755−8*
MD. Edvardsson1756−8*
MR. Jenssen1606−20*
MM. Bjørlo1754−11*
FT. Nyhammer1583−8*
FH. Larsen1705−8*
CJ. Vik1730−9*
Before kick-off: 30% · 30% · 39%(Fredrikstad · draw · Tromso)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Fredrikstad €555K, Tromso €819K.
  • Fredrikstad were without 1 expected starter: I. Amundsen (1663).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Fredrikstad

8th in Eliteserien · 28 pts from 21

  • 20 SepDValerenga 1594
  • 13 SepDSarpsborg 08 FF 1594
  • 4 SepLBodo/Glimt 1604
  • 30 AugWLillestrom 1528
  • 16 AugWKristiansund BK 1545

Tromso

3rd in Eliteserien · 38 pts from 21

  • 20 SepWHam-Kam 1684
  • 12 SepLRosenborg 1641
  • 6 SepLKristiansund BK 1708
  • 30 AugDSarpsborg 08 FF 1694
  • 27 AugLBrighton 1744

Season outlook

From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Fredrikstad28 /2138.30%1%1%8th
Tromso38 /2150.20%66%0%3rd
Fredrikstad
Tromso

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Eliteserien

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

F. Holmé
F. Holmé

Fredrikstad · +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1543

D. Edvardsson
D. Edvardsson

Tromso · +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1764

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Casper Rojkjaer

Coach DNA: –

Jørgen Vik

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Fredrikstad: direct (how Casper Rojkjaer plays) · Tromso: balanced profile (how Jørgen Vik plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.