Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad host Rosenborg on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fredrikstad 21%, draw 26%, Rosenborg 54%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fredrikstad €534K, Rosenborg €1.0M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eliteserien matchday 25: 240 points.
- Style contrast in possession (Eliteserien): Fredrikstad rank #17 of 19, Rosenborg #4.
- Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fredrikstad goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 1–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Fredrikstad 1566 · Rosenborg 1806
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fredrikstad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1541
Rosenborg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1857
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fredrikstad
8th in Eliteserien · 29 pts from 23
- 17 OctLViking Eliteserien1554
- 11 OctDTromso Eliteserien1574
- 20 SepDValerenga Eliteserien1594
- 13 SepDSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1594
- 4 SepLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1604
Rosenborg
5th in Eliteserien · 37 pts from 23
- 18 OctWSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1783
- 10 OctDSandefjord Eliteserien1854
- 19 SepWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1806
- 12 SepWTromso Eliteserien1780
- 5 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1765
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad | 29 /23 | 37.2 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 8th |
| Rosenborg | 37 /23 | 50.6 | 0% | 75% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fredrikstad: direct (how Casper Rojkjaer plays) · Rosenborg: balanced profile (how Freyr Alexandersson plays)