Eliteserien · Regular Season - 26
Fredrikstad vs Brann
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad host Brann on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fredrikstad 24%, draw 27%, Brann 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fredrikstad €527K, Brann €891K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (Eliteserien): Fredrikstad rank #18 of 19, Brann #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fredrikstad goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Fredrikstad 1568 · Brann 1743
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fredrikstad · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1541
Brann · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1773
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fredrikstad
8th in Eliteserien · 29 pts from 23
- 17 OctLViking Eliteserien1554
- 11 OctDTromso Eliteserien1574
- 20 SepDValerenga Eliteserien1594
- 13 SepDSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1594
- 4 SepLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1604
Brann
7th in Eliteserien · 29 pts from 23
- 22 OctWKauno Žalgiris UEFA Conference League1697
- 18 OctLValerenga Eliteserien1730
- 15 OctWLincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Conference League1736
- 9 OctLViking Eliteserien1719
- 20 SepWBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1723
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad | 29 /23 | 37.2 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 8th |
| Brann | 29 /23 | 41.0 | 0% | 2% | <1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fredrikstad: direct (how Casper Rojkjaer plays) · Brann: possession-based (how Eirik Horneland plays)