Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 8
Francs Borains vs Dender
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Stade Robert Urbain, Boussu
Francs Borains host Dender on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Challenger Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Francs Borains 30%, draw 29%, Dender 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Francs Borains €222K, Dender €397K.
- Dender have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Francs Borains goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 0–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Francs Borains 1476 · Dender 1601
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Francs Borains · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1529
Dender · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1616
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Francs Borains
4th in Challenger Pro League · 12 pts from 6
- 10 OctLK. Lierse S.K. Belgium Challenger Pro League1512
- 18 SepWRSC Anderlecht II Belgium Challenger Pro League1493
- 6 SepWLokeren-Temse Belgium Challenger Pro League1466
- 15 MarLLommel United Belgium Challenger Pro League1467
- 12 MarWLokeren-Temse Belgium Challenger Pro League1448
Dender
2nd in Challenger Pro League · 18 pts from 7
- 9 OctWClub Brugge II Belgium Challenger Pro League1584
- 20 SepWPatro Eisden Belgium Challenger Pro League1571
- 11 SepWKAA Gent II Belgium Challenger Pro League1552
- 4 SepWSeraing United Belgium Challenger Pro League1540
- 29 AugWLiège Belgium Challenger Pro League1524
Season outlook
From the Challenger Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francs Borains | 12 /6 | 40.8 | 1% | 20% | 2% | 5th |
| Dender | 18 /7 | 52.4 | 17% | 90% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 15th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Francs Borains: balanced profile (how Yves Vanderhaeghe plays) · Dender: balanced profile (how Jonathan Silva de Oliveira Alves plays)