Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8
Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Twente
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard
Fortuna SittardTeam 1736
TwenteTeam 1993Match story
Fortuna Sittard · draw · TwenteBefore kick-off: 23% · 25% · 52%
Last reading, 90+3': 4% · 89% · 6%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave Twente 52% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Anthony Descotte 1681 +3* assist Mohammed Ihattaren 1864 −6*9'
Fortuna Sittard:Anthony Descotte 1681 +3* assist Mohammed Ihattaren 1864 −6* - 34'Robin Propper 2030 −14* assist Wout Weghorst 1989 −14*
Twente:Robin Propper 2030 −14* assist Wout Weghorst 1989 −14* - 55'Kristian Nokkvi Hlynsson 2120 −8* for Marko Pjaca 1948 −10*
Twente:Kristian Nokkvi Hlynsson 2120 −8* for Marko Pjaca 1948 −10* - 67'Thomas Van den Belt 2089 −8* for Daouda Weidmann 1952 −8*
Twente:Thomas Van den Belt 2089 −8* for Daouda Weidmann 1952 −8* - 74'Bart van Rooij 2146 −9*
Twente:Bart van Rooij 2146 −9* - Kristoffer Peterson 1605 −10* for Lequincio Zeefuik 1744 −5*75'
Fortuna Sittard:Kristoffer Peterson 1605 −10* for Lequincio Zeefuik 1744 −5* - 81'Lucas hesselink of vennegoor 1571 −8* for Daan Rots 2120 −9*
Twente:Lucas hesselink of vennegoor 1571 −8* for Daan Rots 2120 −9* - Sven Simons 1522 −7* for Mohammed Ihattaren 1864 −6*84'
Fortuna Sittard:Sven Simons 1522 −7* for Mohammed Ihattaren 1864 −6* - Siebe Wylin 1695 −7* for Ivo Pinto 1687 −13*84'
Fortuna Sittard:Siebe Wylin 1695 −7* for Ivo Pinto 1687 −13* - Daley Sinkgraven 1711 −10* for Shiloh 't Zand 1686 +1090+1'
Fortuna Sittard:Daley Sinkgraven 1711 −10* for Shiloh 't Zand 1686 +10
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 23% · 25% · 52%(Fortuna Sittard · draw · Twente)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Fortuna Sittard €992K, Twente €3.6M.
- Twente were without 1 expected starter: L. Unnerstall (2075).
- Twente were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortuna Sittard
6th in Eredivisie · 13 pts from 7
- 19 SepWWillem II Eredivisie1766
- 12 SepLAjax Eredivisie1782
- 6 SepWADO Den Haag Eredivisie1750
- 28 AugWGroningen Eredivisie1717
- 22 AugLAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie1714
Twente
4th in Eredivisie · 16 pts from 7
- 20 SepWPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie1981
- 12 SepWADO Den Haag Eredivisie1995
- 9 SepWTelstar Eredivisie1993
- 6 SepDGroningen Eredivisie1994
- 30 AugWCambuur Eredivisie1952
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 13 /7 | 44.9 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 7th |
| Twente | 16 /7 | 62.0 | 2% | 50% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Fortuna Sittard · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Elite) · Elo 1736

Twente · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.2 (Good) · Elo 1959
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fortuna Sittard: direct (how Danny Buijs plays) · Twente: balanced profile (how John Antonius van den Brom plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.