Eredivisie · Regular Season - 12
Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Fortuna Sittard host Telstar on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fortuna Sittard 50%, draw 27%, Telstar 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fortuna Sittard €842K, Telstar €754K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eredivisie matchday 12: 111 points.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eredivisie): Fortuna Sittard rank #1 of 18, Telstar #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fortuna Sittard goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Fortuna Sittard 1753 · Telstar 1642
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fortuna Sittard · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1842
Telstar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1742
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortuna Sittard
6th in Eredivisie · 15 pts from 9
- 18 OctDNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1741
- 10 OctDTwente Eredivisie1777
- 19 SepWWillem II Eredivisie1766
- 12 SepLAjax Eredivisie1782
- 6 SepWADO Den Haag Eredivisie1750
Telstar
16th in Eredivisie · 6 pts from 9
- 17 OctLFeyenoord Eredivisie1661
- 11 OctDADO Den Haag Eredivisie1646
- 20 SepLAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie1731
- 13 SepDHeerenveen Eredivisie1748
- 9 SepLTwente Eredivisie1753
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 15 /9 | 44.4 | 0% | <1% | 2% | 8th |
| Telstar | 6 /9 | 28.9 | 0% | 0% | 70% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fortuna Sittard: direct (how Danny Buijs plays) · Telstar: direct (how Henk Brugge plays)