Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10
Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 11:15 UTC · Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Fortuna Sittard host Excelsior on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fortuna Sittard 44%, draw 28%, Excelsior 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fortuna Sittard €905K, Excelsior €996K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fortuna Sittard goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Fortuna Sittard 1752 · Excelsior 1716
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fortuna Sittard · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1842
Excelsior · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1829
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortuna Sittard
6th in Eredivisie · 15 pts from 9
- 18 OctDNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1741
- 10 OctDTwente Eredivisie1777
- 19 SepWWillem II Eredivisie1766
- 12 SepLAjax Eredivisie1782
- 6 SepWADO Den Haag Eredivisie1750
Excelsior
10th in Eredivisie · 11 pts from 9
- 16 OctLHeerenveen Eredivisie1760
- 11 OctLGroningen Eredivisie1781
- 19 SepDAjax Eredivisie1766
- 13 SepLUtrecht Eredivisie1771
- 8 SepDNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie1730
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 15 /9 | 44.3 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 9th |
| Excelsior | 11 /9 | 37.4 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fortuna Sittard: direct (how Danny Buijs plays) · Excelsior: balanced profile (how Ruben den Uil plays)