3. Liga · Regular Season - 14
Fortuna Köln vs SV Meppen
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Fortuna Köln host SV Meppen on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fortuna Köln 42%, draw 29%, SV Meppen 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fortuna Köln €217K, SV Meppen €215K.
- Home advantage makes Fortuna Köln the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- SV Meppen are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fortuna Köln goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–07%
- 0–17%
- 2–07%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Fortuna Köln 1436 · SV Meppen 1451
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SV Meppen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1538
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortuna Köln
19th in 3. Liga · 10 pts from 13
- 7 NovLWaldhof Mannheim Germany 3 Liga1467
- 31 OctLWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1373
- 25 OctLPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1366
- 16 OctLStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1384
- 13 OctLRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1438
SV Meppen
11th in 3. Liga · 18 pts from 13
- 8 NovWSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1434
- 30 OctDFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1421
- 24 OctWWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1358
- 18 OctDHavelse Germany 3 Liga1359
- 13 OctWHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1254
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 10 /13 | 36.8 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 18th |
| SV Meppen | 18 /13 | 44.7 | 0% | <1% | 13% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –