3. Liga · Regular Season - 8
Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–2 Verl
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf
Fortuna DüsseldorfTeam 1634
VerlTeam 1552Match story
Fortuna Düsseldorf · draw · VerlBefore kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%
Last reading, 90+5': 3% · 96% · 2%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Tim Heike 45'
- Janne Berner 55'
We gave Fortuna Düsseldorf 50% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Andreas Müller 1784 −8*24'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Andreas Müller 1784 −8* - 37'nick seidel 1611 −2*
Verl:nick seidel 1611 −2* - Tim Christopher Oberdorf 1792 −10* assist Philipp Förster 1701 −11*38'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Tim Christopher Oberdorf 1792 −10* assist Philipp Förster 1701 −11* - 45'Tim Heike 1520 0* assist Almin mesanovic 1291 +7*
Verl:Tim Heike 1520 0* assist Almin mesanovic 1291 +7* - Jorrit Hendrix 1670 −11*46'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Jorrit Hendrix 1670 −11* - 55'Janne Berner 1583 −1* assist Mika Clausen 1566 −1*
Verl:Janne Berner 1583 −1* assist Mika Clausen 1566 −1* - Erik Wekesser 1662 −9*59'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Erik Wekesser 1662 −9* - 67'Raphael Araoye 1463 for nick seidel 1611 −2*
Verl:Raphael Araoye 1463 for nick seidel 1611 −2* - Jomaine Consbruch 1577 for Philipp Förster 1701 −11*69'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Jomaine Consbruch 1577 for Philipp Förster 1701 −11* - Sascha Risch 1632 for Erik Wekesser 1662 −9*69'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Sascha Risch 1632 for Erik Wekesser 1662 −9* - Jordi Paulina 1550 for Anas Slimani 1506 −8*69'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Jordi Paulina 1550 for Anas Slimani 1506 −8* - Yassine Bouchama 1617 for Jorrit Hendrix 1670 −11*73'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Yassine Bouchama 1617 for Jorrit Hendrix 1670 −11* - Elias Arden 1448 −8*78'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Elias Arden 1448 −8* - 80'Fabian Wessig 1218 for Joshua Eze 1707 −4*
Verl:Fabian Wessig 1218 for Joshua Eze 1707 −4* - Tim Christopher Oberdorf 1792 −10*84'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Tim Christopher Oberdorf 1792 −10* - Marcel Benger 1654 for Elias Arden 1448 −8*85'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Marcel Benger 1654 for Elias Arden 1448 −8* - 86'Dominik Martinovic 1530 for Tim Heike 1520 0*
Verl:Dominik Martinovic 1530 for Tim Heike 1520 0*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%(Fortuna Düsseldorf · draw · Verl)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Fortuna Düsseldorf €692K, Verl €380K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
11th in 3. Liga · 10 pts from 7
- 19 SepLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1667
- 15 SepWSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1664
- 12 SepWMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1631
- 6 SepDFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1636
- 23 AugLSC Freiburg Germany DFB Pokal1673
Verl
12th in 3. Liga · 10 pts from 7
- 18 SepWWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1485
- 15 SepDSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1527
- 12 SepWSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1484
- 5 SepWWaldhof Mannheim Germany 3 Liga1470
- 29 AugLFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1574
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 10 /7 | 61.6 | 8% | 42% | 0% | 3rd |
| Verl | 10 /7 | 50.1 | <1% | 4% | 3% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Fortuna Düsseldorf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1634
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fortuna Düsseldorf: balanced profile (how Alexander Ende plays) · Verl: possession-based (how Orest Shala plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.