3. Liga · Regular Season - 12
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Meppen
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Merkur Spiel-Arena
Fortuna Düsseldorf host SV Meppen on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fortuna Düsseldorf 70%, draw 19%, SV Meppen 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fortuna Düsseldorf €598K, SV Meppen €196K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 3. Liga matchday 12: 319 points.
- Draw chance 19%, below the 3. Liga average of 27% this round.
- 3. Liga: A. Müller is the highest-rated midfielder (1834).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fortuna Düsseldorf goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1689 · SV Meppen 1370
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fortuna Düsseldorf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1629
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctLFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1679
- 14 OctWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1641
- 11 OctDVerl Germany 3 Liga1656
- 19 SepLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1667
- 15 SepWSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1664
SV Meppen
17th in 3. Liga · 11 pts from 10
- 18 OctDHavelse Germany 3 Liga1293
- 13 OctWHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1236
- 10 OctDStuttgart II Germany 3 Liga1325
- 19 SepLHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1342
- 15 SepLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1317
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 14 /10 | 61.2 | 7% | 42% | 0% | 3rd |
| SV Meppen | 11 /10 | 37.0 | 0% | 0% | 62% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –