3. Liga · Regular Season - 14
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Merkur Spiel-Arena
Fortuna Düsseldorf host SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fortuna Düsseldorf 74%, draw 16%, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fortuna Düsseldorf €434K, SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach €159K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 3. Liga matchday 14: 386 points.
- Draw chance 16%, below the 3. Liga average of 27% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fortuna Düsseldorf goals first.
- 2–011%
- 3–010%
- 2–19%
- 1–09%
- 3–18%
- 1–18%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1654 · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1268
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fortuna Düsseldorf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1480
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.0 (Average) · Elo 1578
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
13th in 3. Liga · 16 pts from 13
- 7 NovLFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1637
- 30 OctDSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1644
- 24 OctDHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1651
- 17 OctLFC Saarbrücken Germany 3 Liga1672
- 14 OctWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1639
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
18th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 13
- 7 NovLHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1256
- 1 NovLRot-Weiß Essen Germany 3 Liga1265
- 27 OctLFC Augsburg Germany DFB Pokal1368
- 24 OctLSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1371
- 17 OctWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1289
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 16 /13 | 56.1 | 1% | 12% | <1% | 9th |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 12 /13 | 29.9 | 0% | 0% | 94% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –