3. Liga · Regular Season - 10
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–3 FC Saarbrücken
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf
Fortuna DüsseldorfTeam 1642
FC SaarbrückenTeam 1622Match story
Fortuna Düsseldorf · draw · FC SaarbrückenBefore kick-off: 46% · 27% · 27%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 0% · 100%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Jordi Paulina 10'
- Kai Brünker 13'
- Kelsey Owusu 50'
- Alexander Staff 90'
We gave Fortuna Düsseldorf 46% to win: FC Saarbrücken won.
- Jordi Paulina 1545 0 assist Jorrit Hendrix 1689 −410'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Jordi Paulina 1545 0 assist Jorrit Hendrix 1689 −4 - 13'Kai Brünker 1612 +112 assist Niko Bretschneider 1727 +26
FC Saarbrücken:Kai Brünker 1612 +112 assist Niko Bretschneider 1727 +26 - 43'Mladen cvjetinovic 1712 +28
FC Saarbrücken:Mladen cvjetinovic 1712 +28 - 50'Kelsey Owusu 1614 +100 assist Kai Brünker 1612 +112
FC Saarbrücken:Kelsey Owusu 1614 +100 assist Kai Brünker 1612 +112 - 58'Alexander Staff 1815 +15 for Gokdeniz Gurpuz 1744 +7*
FC Saarbrücken:Alexander Staff 1815 +15 for Gokdeniz Gurpuz 1744 +7* - Fabian Schleusener 1629 −7 for Jomaine Consbruch 1570 −8*63'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Fabian Schleusener 1629 −7 for Jomaine Consbruch 1570 −8* - 73'Seung-joon Lee 1237 +16 for Kelsey Owusu 1614 +100
FC Saarbrücken:Seung-joon Lee 1237 +16 for Kelsey Owusu 1614 +100 - Miguel Fernandes Goncalves 1011 −8* for Jorrit Hendrix 1689 −473'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Miguel Fernandes Goncalves 1011 −8* for Jorrit Hendrix 1689 −4 - Philipp Förster 1719 −4 for Jordi Paulina 1545 073'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Philipp Förster 1719 −4 for Jordi Paulina 1545 0 - Lukas Bornschein 1469 0 for Andreas Müller 1834 −781'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Lukas Bornschein 1469 0 for Andreas Müller 1834 −7 - Sascha Risch 1624 −8* for Erik Wekesser 1690 −181'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Sascha Risch 1624 −8* for Erik Wekesser 1690 −1 - 82'Kaan Caliskaner 1581 +3 for Kai Brünker 1612 +112
FC Saarbrücken:Kaan Caliskaner 1581 +3 for Kai Brünker 1612 +112 - 82'Maurice Multhaup 1577 −6* for Florian Pick 1663 +28
FC Saarbrücken:Maurice Multhaup 1577 −6* for Florian Pick 1663 +28 - Lukas Bornschein 1469 088'
Fortuna Düsseldorf:Lukas Bornschein 1469 0 - 90'Alexander Staff 1815 +15 assist Kaan Caliskaner 1581 +3
FC Saarbrücken:Alexander Staff 1815 +15 assist Kaan Caliskaner 1581 +3 - 90+1'Alexander Staff 1815 +15
FC Saarbrücken:Alexander Staff 1815 +15
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 46% · 27% · 27%(Fortuna Düsseldorf · draw · FC Saarbrücken)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–3 had 3%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Fortuna Düsseldorf €586K, FC Saarbrücken €391K.
- 3. Liga: A. Müller was the highest-rated midfielder (1841).
- 3. Liga: A. Staff was the highest-rated forward (1800).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
6th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 9
- 14 OctWPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1641
- 11 OctDVerl Germany 3 Liga1656
- 19 SepLAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1667
- 15 SepWSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1664
- 12 SepWMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1631
FC Saarbrücken
5th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 9
- 13 OctLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1658
- 10 OctDFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1645
- 19 SepWSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany 3 Liga1688
- 16 SepDPreußen Münster Germany 3 Liga1658
- 12 SepLFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1694
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 14 /9 | 64.1 | 12% | 59% | 0% | 2nd |
| FC Saarbrücken | 14 /9 | 59.6 | 4% | 35% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Fortuna Düsseldorf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1692

FC Saarbrücken · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1612
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fortuna Düsseldorf: balanced profile (how Alexander Ende plays) · FC Saarbrücken: balanced profile (how Argirios Giannikis plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.