Primera A · Clausura - 16
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Fortaleza FC host Deportivo Cali on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Primera A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fortaleza FC 29%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 43%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fortaleza FC €235K, Deportivo Cali €489K.
- Deportivo Cali are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fortaleza FC goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Fortaleza FC 1511 · Deportivo Cali 1751
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fortaleza FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1704
Deportivo Cali · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1845
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortaleza FC
15th in Primera A · 22 pts from 19
- 9 OctDMillonarios Colombia Primera A1485
- 4 OctDDeportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A1460
- 27 SepDDeportes Tolima Colombia Primera A1466
- 20 SepLJunior Colombia Primera A1468
- 11 SepDJaguares Colombia Primera A1485
Deportivo Cali
9th in Primera A · 27 pts from 19
- 19 OctDJunior Colombia Primera A1742
- 10 OctDDeportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A1725
- 3 OctWAlianza Valledupar Colombia Primera A1783
- 28 SepWÁguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A1775
- 23 SepWSanta Fe Colombia Primera A1735
Season outlook
From the Primera A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza FC | 22 /19 | 27.2 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 15th |
| Deportivo Cali | 27 /19 | 35.0 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fortaleza FC: balanced profile (how Diego Arias plays) · Deportivo Cali: balanced profile (how Rafael Edgar Dudamel Ochoa plays)