NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Serie B · Regular Season - 33

Fortaleza EC 2–2 CRB

Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza

Fortaleza EC crestFortaleza ECTeam 1706
2–2
Full time
HT 2–1
CRB crestCRBTeam 1725

Match story

Fortaleza EC · draw · CRB

Before kick-off: 45% · 27% · 28%

Live chances: Fortaleza EC 0%, draw 100%, CRB 0% at 90+7'2' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 45%, draw 27%, CRB 28%3' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 45%, draw 27%, CRB 28%4' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 45%, draw 27%, CRB 28%5' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 45%, draw 27%, CRB 28%6' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 45%, draw 28%, CRB 28%7' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 45%, draw 28%, CRB 28%8' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 44%, draw 28%, CRB 28%9' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 44%, draw 28%, CRB 28%10' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 44%, draw 28%, CRB 28%11' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 44%, draw 28%, CRB 28%12' · 0–0 · Fortaleza EC 44%, draw 29%, CRB 28%13' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 18%, CRB 10%14' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 18%, CRB 10%15' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 18%, CRB 10%16' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 18%, CRB 10%17' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 18%, CRB 10%18' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 10%19' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 10%20' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%21' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%22' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%23' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%24' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%25' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%26' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%27' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%28' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%29' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%30' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 72%, draw 19%, CRB 9%32' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%33' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%34' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%35' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%36' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%37' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%38' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%39' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%40' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%41' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 8%42' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 7%43' · 1–0 · Fortaleza EC 73%, draw 19%, CRB 7%45' · 1–1 · Fortaleza EC 38%, draw 37%, CRB 26%45+1' · 1–1 · Fortaleza EC 37%, draw 37%, CRB 26%45+2' · 1–1 · Fortaleza EC 37%, draw 37%, CRB 26%45+3' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 7%45+4' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 7%45+5' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 7%45+6' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 7%45+7' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 7%45+8' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 7%45+9' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 7%HT · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 7%48' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 6%49' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 74%, draw 19%, CRB 6%50' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 75%, draw 19%, CRB 6%51' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 75%, draw 19%, CRB 6%53' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 75%, draw 19%, CRB 6%55' · 2–1 · Fortaleza EC 76%, draw 19%, CRB 5%56' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 33%, draw 44%, CRB 24%57' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 32%, draw 44%, CRB 23%58' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 32%, draw 45%, CRB 23%59' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 32%, draw 46%, CRB 23%60' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 31%, draw 46%, CRB 23%61' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 31%, draw 47%, CRB 22%62' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 30%, draw 48%, CRB 22%63' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 30%, draw 48%, CRB 22%64' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 29%, draw 49%, CRB 22%65' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 29%, draw 50%, CRB 21%67' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 28%, draw 52%, CRB 21%68' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 27%, draw 52%, CRB 20%69' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 27%, draw 53%, CRB 20%70' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 26%, draw 54%, CRB 20%71' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 26%, draw 55%, CRB 19%72' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 25%, draw 56%, CRB 19%73' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 24%, draw 57%, CRB 18%74' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 24%, draw 58%, CRB 18%75' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 23%, draw 59%, CRB 18%76' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 22%, draw 61%, CRB 17%77' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 22%, draw 62%, CRB 17%78' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 21%, draw 63%, CRB 16%79' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 20%, draw 64%, CRB 16%80' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 19%, draw 66%, CRB 15%81' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 19%, draw 67%, CRB 14%82' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 18%, draw 68%, CRB 14%83' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 17%, draw 70%, CRB 13%84' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 16%, draw 71%, CRB 13%85' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 15%, draw 73%, CRB 12%86' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 14%, draw 75%, CRB 11%87' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 13%, draw 76%, CRB 10%88' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 12%, draw 78%, CRB 10%89' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 11%, draw 81%, CRB 9%90' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 10%, draw 83%, CRB 8%90+1' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 8%, draw 85%, CRB 7%90+2' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 7%, draw 87%, CRB 6%90+3' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 6%, draw 90%, CRB 4%90+4' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 4%, draw 93%, CRB 3%90+5' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 2%, draw 96%, CRB 2%90+6' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 1%, draw 98%, CRB 1%90+7' · 2–2 · Fortaleza EC 0%, draw 100%, CRB 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.

We gave Fortaleza EC 45% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 11'Fortaleza EC:Luiz Fernando 1801 −3
  2. 11'Fortaleza EC:Maílton 1864 −4 assist Juan Camilo Cantillo 1394 0
  3. 42'CRB: Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues 1724 +9
  4. 45'Fortaleza EC:Pedro Castro 1659 0 (own goal)
  5. 45'Fortaleza EC:Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza 1814 −1 for Rodrigo Oliveira dos Santos 1665 0
  6. 50'Fortaleza EC:Vitor Ferreira 1833 −1 for Luiz Fernando 1801 −3
  7. 54'CRB:Crystopher 1756 +9
  8. 60'Fortaleza EC:Nathan Fogaça 1629 −1 for Juan Camilo Cantillo 1394 0
  9. 60'Fortaleza EC:Lucas Crispim 1560 −4 for Lucas Sasha 1745 −10
  10. 65'CRB:Vinicius Barata 1139 +5 for Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues 1724 +9
  11. 73'Fortaleza EC:Welliton Silva de Azevedo Matheus 1729 0 for Pedro Henrique 1515 −9
  12. 75'Fortaleza EC:Nathan Fogaça 1629 −1
  13. 78'CRB:Geovane 1558 0 for Daniel Sampaio Simões 1725 +1
  14. 78'CRB:Douglas Baggio 1537 −9* for Mikael 1750 +3
  15. 90'CRB:Ygor Catatau 1527 −3 for Dadá Belmonte 1740 +2
  16. 90'CRB:Luizão 1588 −9* for Pedro Castro 1659 0
  17. 90+5'Fortaleza EC:Lucas Crispim 1560 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-1-4-1
GJoão Ricardo1818−8
DMaílton1864−4
DLucas Gazal1914−5
DT. Cardona1867−6
DMaurício Júnior Lima Rodrigues14560
MLucas Sasha1745−10
MRonald1732−8*
MRodrigo16650
FJ. Cantillo13940
FLuiz Fernando1801−3
FPedro Henrique1515−9
CPaulo Autuori1837−4
GVitor Caetano1708+5
DHereda1709+4
DLyncon1699+5
DBressan16810
DLucas Lovat1730+3
MPedro Castro16590
MThiaguinho1724+9
MCrystopher1756+9
MDaniel1725+1
MDadá Belmonte1740+2
FMikael1750+3
CFábio Matias1714+9
Before kick-off: 45% · 27% · 28%(Fortaleza EC · draw · CRB)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–2 had 6%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Fortaleza EC €711K, CRB €436K.
  • Serie B: Lucas Gazal was the highest-rated defender (1919).
  • Style contrast in possession (Serie B): Fortaleza EC ranked #23 of 24, CRB #3.
  • CRB's expected eleven was in form: average +2.7 over 180 days.
  • Fortaleza EC were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Fortaleza EC

4th in Serie B · 56 pts from 32

  • 7 OctWAmerica Mineiro 1767
  • 3 OctDNautico Recife 1777
  • 27 SepDAthletic Club 1800
  • 20 SepWLondrina 1804
  • 13 SepDCeara 1782

CRB

7th in Serie B · 51 pts from 32

  • 7 OctWAtletico Goianiense 1690
  • 2 OctLSão Bernardo 1705
  • 27 SepWCuiaba 1681
  • 20 SepLPonte Preta 1698
  • 16 SepWSport Recife 1617

Season outlook

From the Serie B simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Fortaleza EC56 /3265.712%75%0%4th
CRB51 /3260.2<1%9%0%6th
Fortaleza EC
CRB

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Serie B

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Lucas Gazal
Lucas Gazal

Fortaleza EC · +2.9 (Good) · Elo 1919

Dadá Belmonte
Dadá Belmonte

CRB · +9.8 (Elite) · Elo 1737

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Paulo Autuori de Mello

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Fábio Henrique Matias

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Fortaleza EC: direct (how Paulo Autuori de Mello plays) · CRB: balanced profile (how Fábio Henrique Matias plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.