Serie B · Regular Season - 36
Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense
Mon 2 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Fortaleza EC host Atletico Goianiense on Mon 2 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fortaleza EC 55%, draw 25%, Atletico Goianiense 20%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fortaleza EC €809K, Atletico Goianiense €536K.
- Serie B: Lucas Gazal is the highest-rated defender (1917).
- Atletico Goianiense's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 over 180 days.
- Fortaleza EC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fortaleza EC goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Fortaleza EC 1793 · Atletico Goianiense 1692
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fortaleza EC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1887
Atletico Goianiense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 1799
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fortaleza EC
4th in Serie B · 60 pts from 34
- 16 OctWSport Recife Brazil Serie B1752
- 12 OctDCRB Brazil Serie B1709
- 7 OctWAmerica Mineiro Brazil Serie B1767
- 3 OctDNautico Recife Brazil Serie B1777
- 27 SepDAthletic Club Brazil Serie B1800
Atletico Goianiense
6th in Serie B · 54 pts from 34
- 16 OctDPonte Preta Brazil Serie B1711
- 11 OctDSport Recife Brazil Serie B1733
- 7 OctLCRB Brazil Serie B1754
- 3 OctWAmerica Mineiro Brazil Serie B1751
- 26 SepWGoias Brazil Serie B1719
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 60 /34 | 66.8 | 19% | 83% | 0% | 3rd |
| Atletico Goianiense | 54 /34 | 59.1 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fortaleza EC: direct (how Paulo Autuori de Mello plays) · Atletico Goianiense: balanced profile (how Roger Rodrigues da Silva plays)