Canadian Premier League · Group Stage
Forge 5–0 York United
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton
ForgeTeam 1583York UnitedTeam 1502- Noah Jensen 4'
- Nana Ampomah 9'
- Antoine Batisse 28'
- Marko Jevremović 46'
- Ben Paton 89'
We gave Forge 48% to win: they did.
- Noah Jensen –4'Forge:Noah Jensen –
- Nana Ampomah – assist M. Bourgeois –9'Forge:Nana Ampomah – assist M. Bourgeois –
- Ben Paton – for Nana Ampomah –11'Forge:Ben Paton – for Nana Ampomah –
- Antoine Batisse – assist D. Nimick –28'Forge:Antoine Batisse – assist D. Nimick –
- 45'Sebastian Gonzales – for Oswaldo Leon –York United:Sebastian Gonzales – for Oswaldo Leon –
- 45'Carlos Guzman – for Juan Córdova –York United:Carlos Guzman – for Juan Córdova –
- 45'Kevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke – for Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán –York United:Kevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke – for Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán –
- Marko Jevremović –46'Forge:Marko Jevremović –
- Ismael Oketokoun Hassane – for Lucas Cavallini –67'Forge:Ismael Oketokoun Hassane – for Lucas Cavallini –
- Levonte Johnson – for Rezart Rama –67'Forge:Levonte Johnson – for Rezart Rama –
- aghilas sadek – for Antoine Batisse –67'Forge:aghilas sadek – for Antoine Batisse –
- 68'Shola Jimoh – for Kembo·Kibato –York United:Shola Jimoh – for Kembo·Kibato –
- Anthony Aromatario –73'Forge:Anthony Aromatario –
- Tristan Borges – for Anthony Aromatario –83'Forge:Tristan Borges – for Anthony Aromatario –
- 88'Luca accettola – for Beni Badibanga –York United:Luca accettola – for Beni Badibanga –
- Ben Paton – assist Ismael Oketokoun Hassane –89'Forge:Ben Paton – assist Ismael Oketokoun Hassane –
Before kick-off (provisional): 48% · 27% · 25%(Forge · draw · York United)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 5–0 had 1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Forge €271K, York United €206K.
- Canadian Premier League: H. Massunda was the highest-rated forward (1689).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Canadian Premier League): Forge ranked #1 of 7, York United #7.
- Forge were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Forge
2nd in Canadian Premier League · 51 pts from 25
- 7 OctWPacific FC Canada Premier League1587
- 3 OctDHFX Wanderers FC Canada Premier League1580
- 26 SepDVancouver FC Canada Premier League1559
- 19 SepDCavalry FC Canada Premier League1601
- 12 SepWAtlético Ottawa Canada Premier League1575
York United
7th in Canadian Premier League · 27 pts from 25
- 7 OctLSupra du Quebec Canada Premier League1524
- 3 OctWCavalry FC Canada Premier League1513
- 27 SepLPacific FC Canada Premier League1480
- 24 SepDVancouver FC Canada Premier League1490
- 20 SepLHFX Wanderers FC Canada Premier League1495
Season outlook
From the Canadian Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forge | 51 /25 | 55.9 | 16% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| York United | 27 /25 | 30.7 | 0% | 2% | 92% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 8th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Forge · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1735
York United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1592
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Forge: balanced profile (how Bobby Smyrniotis plays) · York United: low-volume (how Mauro Antunes Eustáquio plays)