Serie A · Regular Season - 33
Fluminense vs Internacional
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Fluminense host Internacional on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Serie A); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fluminense 54%, draw 26%, Internacional 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fluminense €4.2M, Internacional €2.9M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Série A): Fluminense rank #4 of 20, Internacional #17.
- All 11 of Fluminense's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fluminense goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Fluminense 1951 · Internacional 1880
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fluminense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2142
Internacional · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1957
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fluminense
5th in Série A · 51 pts from 31
- 18 OctLSantos Brazil Serie A1944
- 15 OctLPalmeiras Copa Libertadores1953
- 11 OctLFlamengo Brazil Serie A1982
- 9 OctWCoritiba Brazil Serie A1954
- 20 SepWCorinthians Brazil Serie A1927
Internacional
17th in Série A · 32 pts from 31
- 16 OctLMirassol Brazil Serie A1903
- 11 OctDGremio Brazil Serie A1884
- 7 OctWCorinthians Brazil Serie A1873
- 20 SepLSao Paulo Brazil Serie A1854
- 6 SepLSantos Brazil Serie A1892
Season outlook
From the Serie A simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 51 /31 | 61.5 | 0% | 49% | 0% | 3rd |
| Internacional | 32 /31 | 41.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fluminense: possession-based (how Marco Aurélio de Oliveira plays) · Internacional: balanced profile (how Eduardo Alexandre Baptista plays)