Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Floriana vs Hibernians
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Floriana host Hibernians on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Floriana 45%, draw 28%, Hibernians 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Floriana €197K, Hibernians €176K.
- L. Brănescu, Charleston, B. Kristensen, K. Halabaku, A. Diakité, Pedrão, M. Lima, A. Attard, Miullen and D. Bonnici (Hibernians) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Floriana goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Floriana 1406 · Hibernians 1365
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Hibernians from last season's line-ups (latest 14 March 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Hibernians · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1583
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Floriana
5th in Premier League · 16 pts from 11
- 29 AugDHamrun Spartans Malta Premier League1403
- 14 AugWBirzebbuga Malta Premier League1332
- 28 JulDDrita UEFA Conference League1336
- 21 JulDDrita UEFA Conference League1399
- 14 JulLShamrock Rovers UEFA Champions League1365
Hibernians
6th in Premier League · 16 pts from 11
- 14 MarLNaxxar Lions Malta Premier League1348
- 7 MarLGzira United Malta Premier League1358
- 28 FebDValletta FC Malta Premier League1377
- 22 FebLFloriana Malta Premier League1389
- 18 FebLHamrun Spartans Malta Premier League1470
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floriana | 16 /11 | 17.6 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 4th |
| Hibernians | 16 /11 | 17.1 | 0% | 21% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –