Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 31
Flora Tallinn 1–3 FC Levadia Tallinn
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Flora TallinnTeam 1518FC Levadia TallinnTeam 1637- E. Sorga 13' (pen)
- M. Ainsalu 20'
- Joao Pedro 54'
- F. Liivak 72'
We gave FC Levadia Tallinn 42% to win: they did.
- 10'N. Kutateladze –FC Levadia Tallinn:N. Kutateladze –
- E. Sorga – (pen.)13'Flora Tallinn:E. Sorga – (pen.)
- 20'M. Ainsalu – assist M. Skvortsov –FC Levadia Tallinn:M. Ainsalu – assist M. Skvortsov –
- 54'Joao Pedro – assist M. Skvortsov –FC Levadia Tallinn:Joao Pedro – assist M. Skvortsov –
- S. Tovstik –58'Flora Tallinn:S. Tovstik –
- R. Valdmets –65'Flora Tallinn:R. Valdmets –
- 66'E. Otoo – for G. Reis –FC Levadia Tallinn:E. Otoo – for G. Reis –
- I. Antonov – for D. Kuraksin –71'Flora Tallinn:I. Antonov – for D. Kuraksin –
- R. Alliku – for T. Varjund –71'Flora Tallinn:R. Alliku – for T. Varjund –
- 72'F. Liivak – assist N. Kutateladze –FC Levadia Tallinn:F. Liivak – assist N. Kutateladze –
- M. Kalimullin – for R. Valdmets –79'Flora Tallinn:M. Kalimullin – for R. Valdmets –
- 81'R. Kirss – for N. Kutateladze –FC Levadia Tallinn:R. Kirss – for N. Kutateladze –
- 81'G. Lehtmets – for M. Skvortsov –FC Levadia Tallinn:G. Lehtmets – for M. Skvortsov –
- 81'Alexandre – for Joao Pedro –FC Levadia Tallinn:Alexandre – for Joao Pedro –
- T. Usta – for S. Tovstik –82'Flora Tallinn:T. Usta – for S. Tovstik –
- 87'FC Levadia Tallinn:
Before kick-off (provisional): 30% · 29% · 42%(Flora Tallinn · draw · FC Levadia Tallinn)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–3 had 4%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Flora Tallinn €265K, FC Levadia Tallinn €345K.
- Meistriliiga: K. Vallner was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1751).
- K. Kivila and N. Kalmõkov (Flora Tallinn) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Flora Tallinn
2nd in Meistriliiga · 55 pts from 30
- 13 AugLInter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League1539
- 6 AugLInter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League1550
- 30 JulLThe New Saints UEFA Conference League1574
- 23 JulWThe New Saints UEFA Conference League1559
- 14 JulDSaburtalo UEFA Champions League1577
FC Levadia Tallinn
1st in Meistriliiga · 75 pts from 30
- 30 JulLIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1691
- 21 JulWIFK Goteborg UEFA Conference League1673
- 16 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 9 JulWCaernarfon Town UEFA Conference League1651
- 30 MayWTammeka Estonia Meistriliiga1652
Season outlook
From the Meistriliiga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn | 55 /30 | 64.7 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | 75 /30 | 87.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Levadia Tallinn · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1742
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –