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League Two · Regular Season - 10

Fleetwood Town 1–1 Walsall

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood TownTeam 1542
1–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Walsall crestWalsallTeam 1644

Match story

Fleetwood Town · draw · Walsall

Before kick-off: 33% · 30% · 38%

Live chances: Fleetwood Town 3%, draw 93%, Walsall 3% at 90+4'2' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 33%, draw 30%, Walsall 37%3' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 33%, draw 30%, Walsall 37%4' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 33%, draw 30%, Walsall 37%5' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 33%, draw 30%, Walsall 37%6' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 30%, Walsall 37%7' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 31%, Walsall 37%8' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 31%, Walsall 37%9' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 31%, Walsall 37%10' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 31%, Walsall 37%11' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 31%, Walsall 37%13' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 32%, Walsall 36%14' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 32%, Walsall 36%16' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 32%, Walsall 36%17' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 32%, Walsall 36%18' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 32%, Walsall 36%19' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 33%, Walsall 36%20' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 32%, draw 33%, Walsall 36%21' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 33%, Walsall 36%22' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 33%, Walsall 35%23' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 33%, Walsall 35%24' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 34%, Walsall 35%25' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 34%, Walsall 35%26' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 34%, Walsall 35%27' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 34%, Walsall 35%28' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 35%, Walsall 35%29' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 35%, Walsall 35%30' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 31%, draw 35%, Walsall 34%31' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 30%, draw 35%, Walsall 34%32' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 30%, draw 36%, Walsall 34%34' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 30%, draw 36%, Walsall 34%35' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 30%, draw 36%, Walsall 34%36' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 30%, draw 37%, Walsall 33%37' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 30%, draw 37%, Walsall 33%38' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 30%, draw 37%, Walsall 33%39' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 29%, draw 38%, Walsall 33%40' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 29%, draw 38%, Walsall 33%41' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 29%, draw 38%, Walsall 33%42' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 29%, draw 39%, Walsall 32%43' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 29%, draw 39%, Walsall 32%44' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 29%, draw 39%, Walsall 32%45' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 29%, draw 40%, Walsall 32%45+1' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 40%, Walsall 32%45+3' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+4' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+5' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+6' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+7' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+8' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+9' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+10' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+11' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+12' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+13' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+14' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+15' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%45+17' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%46' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%47' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 41%, Walsall 31%48' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 28%, draw 42%, Walsall 31%49' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 27%, draw 42%, Walsall 30%50' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 27%, draw 43%, Walsall 30%51' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 27%, draw 43%, Walsall 30%52' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 27%, draw 44%, Walsall 29%53' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 26%, draw 45%, Walsall 29%54' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 26%, draw 45%, Walsall 29%55' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 26%, draw 46%, Walsall 28%56' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 25%, draw 47%, Walsall 28%57' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 25%, draw 47%, Walsall 28%58' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 25%, draw 48%, Walsall 27%59' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 25%, draw 49%, Walsall 27%60' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 24%, draw 49%, Walsall 27%61' · 0–0 · Fleetwood Town 24%, draw 50%, Walsall 26%62' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 73%, draw 21%, Walsall 5%63' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 74%, draw 21%, Walsall 5%64' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 74%, draw 21%, Walsall 5%65' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 75%, draw 21%, Walsall 5%66' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 75%, draw 20%, Walsall 5%67' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 76%, draw 20%, Walsall 4%68' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 76%, draw 20%, Walsall 4%69' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 77%, draw 20%, Walsall 4%70' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 77%, draw 19%, Walsall 4%71' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 78%, draw 19%, Walsall 4%72' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 78%, draw 19%, Walsall 3%73' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 79%, draw 18%, Walsall 3%74' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 79%, draw 18%, Walsall 3%75' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 80%, draw 18%, Walsall 3%76' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 80%, draw 17%, Walsall 3%77' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 81%, draw 17%, Walsall 2%78' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 82%, draw 16%, Walsall 2%79' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 82%, draw 16%, Walsall 2%80' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 83%, draw 15%, Walsall 2%81' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 84%, draw 15%, Walsall 2%82' · 1–0 · Fleetwood Town 85%, draw 14%, Walsall 1%83' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 13%, draw 72%, Walsall 14%84' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 13%, draw 74%, Walsall 14%85' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 12%, draw 75%, Walsall 13%86' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 11%, draw 77%, Walsall 12%87' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 10%, draw 78%, Walsall 11%88' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 10%, draw 80%, Walsall 10%89' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 9%, draw 82%, Walsall 9%90' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 8%, draw 84%, Walsall 8%90+1' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 7%, draw 86%, Walsall 7%90+2' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 6%, draw 88%, Walsall 6%90+3' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 4%, draw 91%, Walsall 5%90+4' · 1–1 · Fleetwood Town 3%, draw 93%, Walsall 3%

Last reading, 90+4': 3% · 93% · 3%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Walsall 38% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 48'Walsall:Sven Sprangler 1677 −10*
  2. 54'Fleetwood Town:R. Bennett 1708 0
  3. 61'Fleetwood Town:Ronan Coughlan 1562 −3 assist Lewis McCann 1621 0
  4. 65'Walsall:Charlie Crew 1765 −7* for Sven Sprangler 1677 −10*
  5. 65'Walsall:Courtney Alphonso Clarke 1608 0 for Ryan Leak 1645 −8*
  6. 74'Fleetwood Town:Harrison Neal 1700 0
  7. 76'Fleetwood Town:Lewis McCann 1621 0
  8. 76'Walsall:Reece Smith 1655 −7*
  9. 78'Fleetwood Town:Aaron Loupalo-Bi 1569 0 for Ronan Coughlan 1562 −3
  10. 80'Fleetwood Town:Mark Helm 1702 0
  11. 81'Walsall:Elicha Ahui 1593 −7* for Declan Skura 1803 −7*
  12. 82'Walsall:Aaron Pressley 1725 −6* assist Andrew Dallas 1404 −4*
  13. 82'Walsall:Taione Richard Evumena Sodje 1181 −7* for Lewis Simper 1456 −7*
  14. 89'Fleetwood Town:Will davies 1607 −1 for Ched Evans 1352 −11
  15. 90+1'Walsall:Isaac Moore 1736 −7*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-1-4-2Formations4-2-3-1
GJ. Lynch1704−2
DS. Rooney1705−2
DR. Bennett17080
DF. Potter17430
MH. Neal17000
ML. McCann16210
MM. Helm17020
MA. Murphy14060
MJake Thomas Batty16080
FC. Evans1352−11
FR. Coughlan1562−3
CM. Lawlor16090
GJ. Ward1720−6*
DR. Leak1645−8*
DD. Skura1803−7*
DJ. Connolly1745−7*
DM. Hancock1687−7*
MIsaac Moore1736−7*
MS. Sprangler1677−10*
ML. Simper1456−7*
MA. Dallas1404−4*
MR. Smith1655−7*
FA. Pressley1725−6*
CLee Grant1814−7*
Before kick-off: 33% · 30% · 38%(Fleetwood Town · draw · Walsall)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Fleetwood Town €213K, Walsall €216K.
  • Home advantage made Fleetwood Town the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Fleetwood Town's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.7 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Fleetwood Town

18th in League Two · 10 pts from 9

  • 6 OctWBarnsley 1677
  • 3 OctLSalford City 1624
  • 26 SepLRochdale 1588
  • 22 SepLOldham 1468
  • 19 SepLBarnet 1661

Walsall

7th in League Two · 14 pts from 8

  • 26 SepDTranmere 1656
  • 22 SepLStevenage 1467
  • 19 SepWPort Vale 1585
  • 12 SepDRochdale 1629
  • 5 SepDExeter City 1654

Season outlook

From the League Two simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Fleetwood Town10 /958.1<1%4%12%19th
Walsall14 /865.42%19%2%6th
Fleetwood Town
Walsall

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League Two

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Jake Thomas Batty
Jake Thomas Batty

Fleetwood Town · +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1608

S. Sprangler
S. Sprangler

Walsall · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1687

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Matthew Lawlor

Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume

Lee Grant

Coach DNA: creative

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Fleetwood Town: balanced profile (how Matthew Lawlor plays) · Walsall: direct (how Lee Grant plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.