League Two · Regular Season - 15
Fleetwood Town vs Tranmere
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
Fleetwood Town host Tranmere on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fleetwood Town 42%, draw 29%, Tranmere 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fleetwood Town €197K, Tranmere €195K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fleetwood Town goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Fleetwood Town 1613 · Tranmere 1597
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fleetwood Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1623
Tranmere · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1677
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fleetwood Town
18th in League Two · 14 pts from 13
- 27 OctDArsenal England League Cup1614
- 24 OctLExeter City England League Two1619
- 20 OctLCheltenham England League Two1664
- 17 OctWRotherham England League Two1612
- 10 OctDWalsall England League Two1613
Tranmere
13th in League Two · 16 pts from 13
- 24 OctDCrawley Town England League Two1603
- 20 OctWNorthampton England League Two1565
- 17 OctLBarnet England League Two1540
- 10 OctDRochdale England League Two1552
- 3 OctLChesterfield England League Two1572
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood Town | 14 /13 | 56.4 | 0% | 2% | 18% | 20th |
| Tranmere | 16 /13 | 57.1 | <1% | 3% | 16% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fleetwood Town: balanced profile (how Matthew Lawlor plays) · Tranmere: balanced profile (how D. Clarke plays)