FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood
Fleetwood Town host Rochdale on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Fleetwood Town 47%, draw 28%, Rochdale 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Fleetwood Town €190K, Rochdale €373K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Fleetwood Town goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: Fleetwood Town 1613 · Rochdale 1586
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Fleetwood Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1623
Rochdale · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1621
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Fleetwood Town
18th in League Two · 14 pts from 13
- 27 OctDArsenal England League Cup1614
- 24 OctLExeter City England League Two1619
- 20 OctLCheltenham England League Two1664
- 17 OctWRotherham England League Two1612
- 10 OctDWalsall England League Two1613
Rochdale
17th in League Two · 15 pts from 13
- 24 OctLAccrington ST England League Two1634
- 20 OctDGrimsby England League Two1611
- 17 OctLCrewe England League Two1587
- 10 OctDTranmere England League Two1595
- 6 OctLHuddersfield England EFL Trophy1384
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block · low-volume
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Fleetwood Town: balanced profile (how Matthew Lawlor plays) · Rochdale: low-block · low-volume (how Ian Watson plays)