Premier League · Regular Season - 23
FK Tobol Kostanay 4–2 Zhenys
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC · Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay
FK Tobol KostanayTeam 1570ZhenysTeam 1444- A. Talal 12'
- V. Lisakovich 18'
- A. Tagybergen 33'
- Z. Zhumashev 59'
- P. Kpozo 6'
- A. Filipovic 38'
We gave FK Tobol Kostanay 52% to win: they did.
- 6'P. Kpozo –Zhenys:P. Kpozo –
- A. Talal –12'FK Tobol Kostanay:A. Talal –
- V. Lisakovich –18'FK Tobol Kostanay:V. Lisakovich –
- A. Tagybergen –33'FK Tobol Kostanay:A. Tagybergen –
- 38'A. Filipovic – assist S. Zharynbetov –Zhenys:A. Filipovic – assist S. Zharynbetov –
- 58'S. Tursynbay –Zhenys:S. Tursynbay –
- Z. Zhumashev –59'FK Tobol Kostanay:Z. Zhumashev –
- 68'A. Saulet – for S. Tursynbay –Zhenys:A. Saulet – for S. Tursynbay –
- 68'Elder Santana – for R. Isaev –Zhenys:Elder Santana – for R. Isaev –
- 69'Z. Tevzadze –Zhenys:Z. Tevzadze –
- U. Milovanovic – for Z. Zhumashev –70'FK Tobol Kostanay:U. Milovanovic – for Z. Zhumashev –
- 72'S. Zharynbetov –Zhenys:S. Zharynbetov –
- 75'M. Bystrov – for B. Madelkhan –Zhenys:M. Bystrov – for B. Madelkhan –
- 75'Y. Besengaliyev – for Adilio –Zhenys:Y. Besengaliyev – for Adilio –
- N. Zhagorov –77'FK Tobol Kostanay:N. Zhagorov –
- D. Zhumat – for V. Lisakovich –79'FK Tobol Kostanay:D. Zhumat – for V. Lisakovich –
- 90+2'L. Imnadze –Zhenys:L. Imnadze –
Before kick-off (provisional): 52% · 26% · 22%(FK Tobol Kostanay · draw · Zhenys)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 4–2 had 1%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FK Tobol Kostanay €367K, Zhenys €246K.
- Premier League: V. Lisakovich was the highest-rated forward (1719).
- All 11 of FK Tobol Kostanay's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
- All 11 of Zhenys' expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Tobol Kostanay
7th in Premier League · 37 pts from 27
- 17 SepLYelimay Semey Kazakhstan Premier League1560
- 13 SepWKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1537
- 6 SepWUlytau Kazakhstan Premier League1520
- 30 AugLKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1538
- 25 AugWKaisar Kazakhstan Premier League1496
Zhenys
9th in Premier League · 32 pts from 27
- 18 SepLOkzhetpes Kazakhstan Premier League1467
- 12 SepWKyzyl-Zhar Kazakhstan Premier League1443
- 9 SepLKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1413
- 5 SepLAktobe Kazakhstan Premier League1444
- 29 AugWAltay Kazakhstan Premier League1448
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol Kostanay | 37 /27 | 42.3 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 7th |
| Zhenys | 32 /27 | 35.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Tobol Kostanay · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1719
Zhenys · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1412
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile