Premier League · Regular Season - 30
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC · Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay
FK Tobol Kostanay host Aktobe on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FK Tobol Kostanay 42%, draw 29%, Aktobe 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FK Tobol Kostanay €396K, Aktobe €360K.
- Premier League: V. Lisakovich is the highest-rated forward (1728).
- All 11 of FK Tobol Kostanay's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- All 11 of Aktobe's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FK Tobol Kostanay goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: FK Tobol Kostanay 1578 · Aktobe 1565
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Tobol Kostanay · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Good) · Elo 1728
Aktobe · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1550
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Tobol Kostanay
7th in Premier League · 40 pts from 28
- 17 OctWZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1554
- 17 SepLYelimay Semey Kazakhstan Premier League1560
- 13 SepWKairat Almaty Kazakhstan Premier League1537
- 6 SepWUlytau Kazakhstan Premier League1520
- 30 AugLKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1538
Aktobe
5th in Premier League · 45 pts from 28
- 17 OctLOrdabasy Kazakhstan Premier League1624
- 18 SepDUlytau Kazakhstan Premier League1550
- 12 SepWKaspiy Kazakhstan Premier League1563
- 5 SepWZhenys Kazakhstan Premier League1538
- 30 AugLIrtysh Kazakhstan Premier League1496
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol Kostanay | 40 /28 | 43.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7th |
| Aktobe | 45 /28 | 47.6 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile