Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 11
FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 17:45 UTC
FK Sarajevo host Zeljeznicar Sarajevo on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premijer Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FK Sarajevo 53%, draw 26%, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FK Sarajevo €260K, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo €210K.
- V. Muftić, P. Galchev, S. Krpić, Vini Peixoto, B. Nastić, C. Seedorf and S. Radovac (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FK Sarajevo goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FK Sarajevo 1514 · Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 1367
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches; Zeljeznicar Sarajevo from last season's line-ups (latest 11 April 2026).
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Sarajevo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1555
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1581
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Sarajevo
3rd in Premijer Liga · 15 pts from 10
- 17 OctDRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1498
- 29 AugLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1507
- 16 JulLInter Turku UEFA Conference League1561
- 9 JulDInter Turku UEFA Conference League1591
- 3 MayLBorac Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1526
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
5th in Premijer Liga · 13 pts from 10
- 29 AugDSiroki Brijeg Bosnia Premijer Liga1303
- 11 AprWRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1438
- 14 MarLBorac Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1462
- 7 MarWSloga Doboj Bosnia Premijer Liga1429
- 2 MarLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1441
Season outlook
From the Premijer Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | 15 /10 | 57.9 | 2% | 93% | 1% | 3rd |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 13 /10 | 46.0 | 0% | 37% | 17% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –