Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 14
FK Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
FK Sarajevo host Siroki Brijeg on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premijer Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FK Sarajevo 61%, draw 23%, Siroki Brijeg 16%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FK Sarajevo €257K, Siroki Brijeg €138K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FK Sarajevo goals first.
- 1–014%
- 2–013%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 0–08%
- 3–07%
- Other scores37%
Team Elo: FK Sarajevo 1488 · Siroki Brijeg 1248
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Sarajevo · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1575
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Sarajevo
3rd in Premijer Liga · 20 pts from 13
- 8 NovDZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1487
- 1 NovDBSK Banja Luka Bosnia Premijer Liga1482
- 24 OctWZeljeznicar Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1446
- 17 OctDRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1487
- 29 AugLZrinjski Bosnia Premijer Liga1496
Siroki Brijeg
4th in Premijer Liga · 17 pts from 13
- 7 NovWZeljeznicar Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1189
- 31 OctLRadnik Bijeljina Bosnia Premijer Liga1171
- 24 OctDČelik Bosnia Premijer Liga1185
- 29 AugDZeljeznicar Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1180
- 15 MarWFK Sarajevo Bosnia Premijer Liga1353
Season outlook
From the Premijer Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | 20 /13 | 58.1 | 1% | 96% | <1% | 3rd |
| Siroki Brijeg | 17 /13 | 40.7 | 0% | 12% | 41% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –