Super Liga · Regular Season - 11
FK Partizan 1–0 Novi Pazar
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
FK PartizanTeam 1678
Novi PazarTeam 1509Match story
FK Partizan · draw · Novi PazarBefore kick-off: 52% · 28% · 20%
Last reading, 90+3': 96% · 4% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave FK Partizan 52% to win: they did.
- 45'Kaheim Dixon 1651 −5 for Johnson Agwom Dauda 1493 −8*
Novi Pazar:Kaheim Dixon 1651 −5 for Johnson Agwom Dauda 1493 −8* - Milan aleksic 1570 −1* for Iddrisu Baba 1766 +4*56'
FK Partizan:Milan aleksic 1570 −1* for Iddrisu Baba 1766 +4* - 64'Aleksandar Miljković 1443 −16*
Novi Pazar:Aleksandar Miljković 1443 −16* - Nikola Cumic 1638 +1* for Zubairu Ibrahim 1717 0*68'
FK Partizan:Nikola Cumic 1638 +1* for Zubairu Ibrahim 1717 0* - Jeferson Marinho dos Santos 1671 0* for Erik Kojzek 1662 +2*68'
FK Partizan:Jeferson Marinho dos Santos 1671 0* for Erik Kojzek 1662 +2* - B. Kostić 1649 −4* for Igor Miladinovic 1735 0*68'
FK Partizan:B. Kostić 1649 −4* for Igor Miladinovic 1735 0* - 74'Fejsal Mulic 1498 −11* for Adem Ljajić 1542 −17*
Novi Pazar:Fejsal Mulic 1498 −11* for Adem Ljajić 1542 −17* - 79'stefan malentijevic 1510 −8* for Ivan Davidovic 1619 −17*
Novi Pazar:stefan malentijevic 1510 −8* for Ivan Davidovic 1619 −17* - 79'Mihajlo Petrovic 1355 −8* for Skima Togbe 1636 −16*
Novi Pazar:Mihajlo Petrovic 1355 −8* for Skima Togbe 1636 −16* - Jeferson Marinho dos Santos 1671 0* assist Nikola Cumic 1638 +1*81'
FK Partizan:Jeferson Marinho dos Santos 1671 0* assist Nikola Cumic 1638 +1* - 85'Nikola skrobonja 1193 −8* for Jovan Marinkovic 1640 −19*
Novi Pazar:Nikola skrobonja 1193 −8* for Jovan Marinkovic 1640 −19* - Mateja Milovanovic 1369 −5* for Mario Jurčevič 1795 +9*87'
FK Partizan:Mateja Milovanovic 1369 −5* for Mario Jurčevič 1795 +9* - Demba Seck 1802 −1*89'
FK Partizan:Demba Seck 1802 −1*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 52% · 28% · 20%(FK Partizan · draw · Novi Pazar)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 12%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FK Partizan €754K, Novi Pazar €421K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Super Liga): FK Partizan ranked #2 of 16, Novi Pazar #13.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Partizan
12th in Super Liga · 8 pts from 9
- 19 SepDRadnik Surdulica Serbian Super Liga1690
- 13 SepLVojvodina Serbian Super Liga1678
- 6 SepLFK Crvena Zvezda Serbian Super Liga1726
- 31 AugWOFK Beograd Serbian Super Liga1710
- 27 AugWGetafe UEFA Conference League1689
Novi Pazar
8th in Super Liga · 13 pts from 10
- 19 SepDZemun Serbian Super Liga1554
- 12 SepDCukaricki Serbian Super Liga1577
- 4 SepWŽelezničar Pančevo Serbian Super Liga1539
- 29 AugDMacva Serbian Super Liga1542
- 23 AugLRadnik Surdulica Serbian Super Liga1551
Season outlook
From the Super Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan | 8 /9 | 35.1 | 0% | 23% | 6% | 4th |
| Novi Pazar | 13 /10 | 34.3 | 0% | 15% | 8% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FK Partizan · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1802

Novi Pazar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1658
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FK Partizan: possession-based (how Saša Ilić plays) · Novi Pazar: balanced profile (how Strahinja Pandurovic plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.