First League · Regular Season - 13
FK Neftekhimik 2–4 Chelyabinsk
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk
FK NeftekhimikTeam 1373ChelyabinskTeam 1438We gave FK Neftekhimik 38% to win: Chelyabinsk won.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 38% · 30% · 31%(FK Neftekhimik · draw · Chelyabinsk)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–4 had <1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FK Neftekhimik €193K, Chelyabinsk €280K.
- Home advantage made FK Neftekhimik the favourite: it added 9 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Neftekhimik
15th in First League · 12 pts from 12
- 18 SepLUral Russia First League1360
- 14 SepLSpartak Kostroma Russia First League1371
- 5 SepWEnisey Russia First League1364
- 28 AugLFC UFA Russia First League1362
- 24 AugWRotor Volgograd Russia First League1333
Chelyabinsk
14th in First League · 12 pts from 12
- 26 SepDEnisey Russia First League1422
- 18 SepWFC UFA Russia First League1448
- 14 SepDKAMAZ Russia First League1451
- 5 SepLSpartak Kostroma Russia First League1444
- 30 AugLFC Sochi Russia First League1457
Season outlook
From the First League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Neftekhimik | 12 /12 | 36.8 | 0% | <1% | 34% | 16th |
| Chelyabinsk | 12 /12 | 40.5 | 0% | <1% | 14% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.