Czech Liga · Regular Season - 11
FK Jablonec 2–3 Plzen
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec
FK JablonecTeam 1685
PlzenTeam 1838Match story
FK Jablonec · draw · PlzenBefore kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%
Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 4% · 96%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Dusan Pavlovic 57'
- Baboucarr Faal 84' (og)
- Sampson Dweh 15'
- Christopher Kabongo 25'
- Amar Memić 53'
We gave Plzen 41% to win: they did.
- Eduard Sobol 1632 −314'
FK Jablonec:Eduard Sobol 1632 −3 - 15'Sampson Dweh 1971 +37 assist Patrik Hrošovský 1874 +43
Plzen:Sampson Dweh 1971 +37 assist Patrik Hrošovský 1874 +43 - 25'Christopher Kabongo 1643 +63
Plzen:Christopher Kabongo 1643 +63 - 34'Merchas Doski 1886 +11
Plzen:Merchas Doski 1886 +11 - 35'Sampson Dweh 1971 +37
Plzen:Sampson Dweh 1971 +37 - Saidou Alioum Moubarak 1605 0 for Eduard Sobol 1632 −345'
FK Jablonec:Saidou Alioum Moubarak 1605 0 for Eduard Sobol 1632 −3 - 53'Amar Memić 2085 +16
Plzen:Amar Memić 2085 +16 - Dusan Pavlovic 1735 −19 assist Filip Zorvan 1633 −13*57'
FK Jablonec:Dusan Pavlovic 1735 −19 assist Filip Zorvan 1633 −13* - 62'Cheick Souare 1941 +4 for Adam Gabriel 1898 +11
Plzen:Cheick Souare 1941 +4 for Adam Gabriel 1898 +11 - 62'tobias paliscak 1619 +9 for Merchas Doski 1886 +11
Plzen:tobias paliscak 1619 +9 for Merchas Doski 1886 +11 - Saidou Alioum Moubarak 1605 065'
FK Jablonec:Saidou Alioum Moubarak 1605 0 - 68'Baboucarr Faal 1639 +7 for Christopher Kabongo 1643 +63
Plzen:Baboucarr Faal 1639 +7 for Christopher Kabongo 1643 +63 - 68'Salim Fago Lawal 1746 +6 for Amar Memić 2085 +16
Plzen:Salim Fago Lawal 1746 +6 for Amar Memić 2085 +16 - Dominik Holly 1656 0 for Vakhtang TChanturishvili 1717 −971'
FK Jablonec:Dominik Holly 1656 0 for Vakhtang TChanturishvili 1717 −9 - Nelson Okeke 1526 0 for Richard Sedláček 1743 −671'
FK Jablonec:Nelson Okeke 1526 0 for Richard Sedláček 1743 −6 - Jan Chramosta 1352 −8 for Antonín Růsek 1640 −171'
FK Jablonec:Jan Chramosta 1352 −8 for Antonín Růsek 1640 −1 - 75'Stefan Pirgic 1686 +4 for Denis Višinský 1905 +13
Plzen:Stefan Pirgic 1686 +4 for Denis Višinský 1905 +13 - 77'Baboucarr Faal 1639 +7
Plzen:Baboucarr Faal 1639 +7 - Hugo Ahl 1490 −8* for Garang Mawien Kuol 1564 083'
FK Jablonec:Hugo Ahl 1490 −8* for Garang Mawien Kuol 1564 0 - Baboucarr Faal 1639 +7 (own goal)84'
FK Jablonec:Baboucarr Faal 1639 +7 (own goal)
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 41%(FK Jablonec · draw · Plzen)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–3 had 2%.
- Average value of the starting XI: FK Jablonec €678K, Plzen €1.8M.
- Czech Liga: A. Memić was the highest-rated midfielder (2069).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Czech Liga): FK Jablonec ranked #14 of 16, Plzen #1.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Jablonec
7th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 10
- 15 OctLSC Freiburg UEFA Conference League1696
- 10 OctWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1694
- 20 SepDZlin Czech Liga1652
- 12 SepLSparta Praha Czech Liga1711
- 9 SepWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1678
Plzen
11th in Czech Liga · 13 pts from 10
- 15 OctLFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League1765
- 10 OctWMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1705
- 20 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1783
- 17 SepLUnion St. Gilloise UEFA Europa League1826
- 13 SepLSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1829
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 17 /10 | 44.6 | <1% | 19% | 1% | 7th |
| Plzen | 13 /10 | 47.9 | 1% | 42% | <1% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

FK Jablonec · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1749

Plzen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1831
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FK Jablonec: balanced profile (how Luboš Kozel plays) · Plzen: balanced profile (how Radoslav Kováč plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.