Czech Liga · Regular Season - 14
FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
FK Jablonec host Mlada Boleslav on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FK Jablonec 46%, draw 28%, Mlada Boleslav 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FK Jablonec €681K, Mlada Boleslav €464K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Czech Liga): FK Jablonec rank #15 of 16, Mlada Boleslav #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FK Jablonec goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: FK Jablonec 1674 · Mlada Boleslav 1620
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FK Jablonec · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1754
Mlada Boleslav · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1783
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FK Jablonec
8th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 11
- 22 OctDBrighton UEFA Conference League1687
- 18 OctLPlzen Czech Liga1699
- 15 OctLSC Freiburg UEFA Conference League1696
- 10 OctWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1694
- 20 SepDZlin Czech Liga1652
Mlada Boleslav
4th in Czech Liga · 20 pts from 11
- 17 OctWTeplice Czech Liga1657
- 14 OctLBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1652
- 10 OctLPlzen Czech Liga1696
- 19 SepWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1628
- 12 SepLSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1675
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 17 /11 | 43.2 | 0% | 12% | 1% | 7th |
| Mlada Boleslav | 20 /11 | 44.5 | <1% | 17% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FK Jablonec: balanced profile (how Luboš Kozel plays) · Mlada Boleslav: balanced profile (how Aleš Majer plays)