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Super Liga · Regular Season - 12

FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1 Mladost Lucani

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Rajko Mitić Stadion, Belgrade

FK Crvena Zvezda crestFK Crvena ZvezdaTeam 1850
5–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Mladost Lucani crestMladost LucaniTeam 1506

Match story

FK Crvena Zvezda · draw · Mladost Lucani

Before kick-off: 70% · 19% · 11%

Live chances: FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0% at 90'2' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 69%, draw 19%, Mladost Lucani 11%3' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 69%, draw 19%, Mladost Lucani 12%4' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 69%, draw 20%, Mladost Lucani 12%5' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 69%, draw 20%, Mladost Lucani 12%6' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 68%, draw 20%, Mladost Lucani 12%7' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 68%, draw 20%, Mladost Lucani 12%8' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 68%, draw 20%, Mladost Lucani 12%9' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 68%, draw 20%, Mladost Lucani 12%10' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 68%, draw 20%, Mladost Lucani 12%11' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 67%, draw 21%, Mladost Lucani 12%12' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 67%, draw 21%, Mladost Lucani 12%13' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 67%, draw 21%, Mladost Lucani 12%14' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 67%, draw 21%, Mladost Lucani 12%15' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 66%, draw 21%, Mladost Lucani 12%16' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 66%, draw 22%, Mladost Lucani 12%17' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 66%, draw 22%, Mladost Lucani 13%18' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 66%, draw 22%, Mladost Lucani 13%19' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 65%, draw 22%, Mladost Lucani 13%20' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 65%, draw 22%, Mladost Lucani 13%21' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 65%, draw 22%, Mladost Lucani 13%22' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 64%, draw 23%, Mladost Lucani 13%23' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 64%, draw 23%, Mladost Lucani 13%24' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 64%, draw 23%, Mladost Lucani 13%25' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 64%, draw 23%, Mladost Lucani 13%26' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 63%, draw 24%, Mladost Lucani 13%27' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 63%, draw 24%, Mladost Lucani 13%28' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 63%, draw 24%, Mladost Lucani 13%29' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 62%, draw 24%, Mladost Lucani 13%30' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 62%, draw 24%, Mladost Lucani 13%31' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 62%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 13%32' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 61%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 14%33' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 61%, draw 25%, Mladost Lucani 14%34' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 61%, draw 26%, Mladost Lucani 14%35' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 60%, draw 26%, Mladost Lucani 14%36' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 60%, draw 26%, Mladost Lucani 14%37' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 60%, draw 26%, Mladost Lucani 14%38' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 59%, draw 27%, Mladost Lucani 14%39' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 59%, draw 27%, Mladost Lucani 14%40' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 59%, draw 27%, Mladost Lucani 14%41' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 58%, draw 28%, Mladost Lucani 14%42' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 58%, draw 28%, Mladost Lucani 14%43' · 0–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 57%, draw 28%, Mladost Lucani 14%44' · 1–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 84%, draw 12%, Mladost Lucani 3%45+1' · 1–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 84%, draw 12%, Mladost Lucani 3%HT · 1–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 84%, draw 13%, Mladost Lucani 3%47' · 1–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 84%, draw 13%, Mladost Lucani 3%48' · 1–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 84%, draw 13%, Mladost Lucani 3%49' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 3%, Mladost Lucani 0%50' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 2%, Mladost Lucani 0%51' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 2%, Mladost Lucani 0%52' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 2%, Mladost Lucani 0%53' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 2%, Mladost Lucani 0%54' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 2%, Mladost Lucani 0%55' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 2%, Mladost Lucani 0%56' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 2%, Mladost Lucani 0%57' · 2–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 97%, draw 2%, Mladost Lucani 0%58' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%59' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%60' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%61' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%62' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%63' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%64' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%65' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%66' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%67' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%68' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%69' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%70' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%71' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%72' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%73' · 3–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%75' · 4–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%76' · 4–0 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%78' · 4–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%79' · 4–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%80' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%81' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%82' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%83' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%84' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%85' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%86' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%87' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%88' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%89' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%90' · 5–1 · FK Crvena Zvezda 100%, draw 0%, Mladost Lucani 0%

Last reading, 90': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FK Crvena Zvezda 70% to win: they did.

  1. 36'FK Crvena Zvezda:Mohammad Abu Fani 1964 +7*
  2. 43'FK Crvena Zvezda:Aleksandar Katai 1779 +25* assist Mahmudu Bajo 1791 +32
  3. 47'FK Crvena Zvezda:Marko Arnautović 1593 +43
  4. 51'FK Crvena Zvezda:Matej Strika 1706 +18
  5. 56'FK Crvena Zvezda:Mohammad Abu Fani 1964 +7*
  6. 62'Mladost Lucani:Vukasin Markovic 1103 −8* for Jovan ciric 1599 0
  7. 62'FK Crvena Zvezda:Kim Ye-geon 1508 0* for Mohammad Abu Fani 1964 +7*
  8. 62'FK Crvena Zvezda:Mirko Ivanić 1925 −10* for Kristiyan Balov 1598 +15
  9. 62'Mladost Lucani:David Djokic 1294 −8* for Vasil Tašovski 1532 0
  10. 72'FK Crvena Zvezda:Rade Krunić 1956 −2 for Muhammed Cham Saracevic 1923 +22
  11. 72'FK Crvena Zvezda:Timi Elsnik 2060 +2 for Mahmudu Bajo 1791 +32
  12. 73'FK Crvena Zvezda:Osman Bukari 1932 +27
  13. 75'Mladost Lucani:ognjen bondzulic 1322 −8* for mihailo todosijevic 1419 0
  14. 76'Mladost Lucani:Taras Bondarenko 1339 −6 for Vukašin Jovanović 1623 −4
  15. 77'Mladost Lucani:Vukasin Markovic 1103 −8*
  16. 79'FK Crvena Zvezda:Timi Elsnik 2060 +2 assist Mirko Ivanić 1925 −10*
  17. 79'FK Crvena Zvezda:Andrej Sibinovic for Marko Arnautović 1593 +43
  18. 86'Mladost Lucani:Nenad Radić 1228 −8* for Nemanja Petrović 1553 −14*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-2-4-1Formations5-4-1
GS. Radanović1674+11*
DM. Veljković2059−5*
DF. Tebo Uchenna1969+24
DM. Strika1706+18
MK. Balov1598+15
MM. Bajo1791+32
MM. Cham1923+22
MA. Katai1779+25*
MM. Abu Fani1964+7*
MO. Bukari1932+27
FM. Arnautović1593+43
CRiera1996+15
GŽ. Samčović1732−18*
DN. Petrović1553−14*
DV. Jovanović1623−4
DN. Ćirković1580−7
DM. Joksimović1399−16*
DM. Cvetković1376−17*
MVasil Tasovski15320
MB. Jovičić1497−6
MV. Kijevčanin1613−10*
MJ. Ćirić15990
FJoão14190
CR. Ćurčić15830
Before kick-off: 70% · 19% · 11%(FK Crvena Zvezda · draw · Mladost Lucani)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 5–1 had 2%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: FK Crvena Zvezda €1.4M, Mladost Lucani €347K.
  • Draw chance was 16%, below the Super Liga average of 25% this round.
  • Super Liga: Matheus was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2053).
  • Style contrast in attacking (Super Liga): FK Crvena Zvezda ranked #1 of 16, Mladost Lucani #16.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

FK Crvena Zvezda

1st in Super Liga · 31 pts from 11

  • 15 OctLFC Lugano 1945
  • 10 OctWRadnicki 1923 1920
  • 20 SepWRadnicki NIS 1882
  • 17 SepWŽelezničar Pančevo 1902
  • 13 SepWIMT Novi Beograd 1905

Mladost Lucani

7th in Super Liga · 17 pts from 11

  • 12 OctDOFK Beograd 1551
  • 20 SepWMacva 1526
  • 12 SepLRadnicki 1923 1530
  • 5 SepWRadnicki NIS 1481
  • 30 AugLIMT Novi Beograd 1483

Season outlook

From the Super Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
FK Crvena Zvezda31 /1165.197%100%0%1st
Mladost Lucani17 /1134.60%15%5%9th
FK Crvena Zvezda
Mladost Lucani

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Super Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

M. Veljković
M. Veljković

FK Crvena Zvezda · +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 2064

N. Ćirković
N. Ćirković

Mladost Lucani · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1587

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Albert Riera

Coach DNA: –

Radovan Ćurčić

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

FK Crvena Zvezda: shot-heavy · creative (how Albert Riera plays) · Mladost Lucani: low-volume · direct (how Radovan Ćurčić plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.