Eredivisie · Regular Season - 13
Feyenoord vs Excelsior
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · De Kuip, Rotterdam
Feyenoord host Excelsior on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Feyenoord 72%, draw 18%, Excelsior 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Feyenoord €5.3M, Excelsior €1.1M.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Eredivisie average of 24% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Feyenoord goals first.
- 2–09%
- 2–19%
- 3–08%
- 3–18%
- 1–18%
- 1–06%
- Other scores52%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 4.9 pts
Team Elo: Feyenoord 2068 · Excelsior 1701
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Feyenoord · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 2115
Excelsior · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1773
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Feyenoord
2nd in Eredivisie · 25 pts from 12
- 8 NovLHeerenveen Eredivisie2113
- 3 NovLInter UEFA Champions League2104
- 31 OctDFortuna Sittard Eredivisie2137
- 25 OctDPSV Eindhoven Eredivisie2142
- 21 OctLReal Betis UEFA Champions League2139
Excelsior
15th in Eredivisie · 11 pts from 12
- 7 NovLGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1743
- 1 NovLTwente Eredivisie1752
- 28 OctWMVV Netherlands KNVB Beker1713
- 25 OctLFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1747
- 16 OctLHeerenveen Eredivisie1745
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 25 /12 | 65.0 | 6% | 77% | 0% | 3rd |
| Excelsior | 11 /12 | 33.1 | 0% | 0% | 42% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Feyenoord: dribble-heavy · creative (how G. van Bronckhorst plays) · Excelsior: balanced profile (how R. den Uil plays)