Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8
Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:45 UTC · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
FeyenoordTeam 2073
AZ AlkmaarTeam 2094Match story
Feyenoord · draw · AZ AlkmaarBefore kick-off: 41% · 26% · 33%
Last reading, 90+3': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Nacho Ferri 13'
- Javi López 59'
We gave Feyenoord 41% to win: they did.
- 11'Lewis Schouten 2049 −13*
AZ Alkmaar:Lewis Schouten 2049 −13* - Nacho Ferri 2023 +37*13'
Feyenoord:Nacho Ferri 2023 +37* - 23'Ro Zangelo Daal 2137 −16*
AZ Alkmaar:Ro Zangelo Daal 2137 −16* - Oussama Targhalline 2166 +2*45+2'
Feyenoord:Oussama Targhalline 2166 +2* - Javi López 2037 +36* assist Charles Vanhoutte 2104 +26*59'
Feyenoord:Javi López 2037 +36* assist Charles Vanhoutte 2104 +26* - 67'Wouter Goes 2164 −21*
AZ Alkmaar:Wouter Goes 2164 −21* - 68'Weslley Pinto Batista 2102 −10* for Ro Zangelo Daal 2137 −16*
AZ Alkmaar:Weslley Pinto Batista 2102 −10* for Ro Zangelo Daal 2137 −16* - 68'Denso Kasius 2106 −10* for Elijah Dijkstra 2100 −14*
AZ Alkmaar:Denso Kasius 2106 −10* for Elijah Dijkstra 2100 −14* - Tobias van den Elshout 1829 −4* for Gjivai Zechiel 2134 +1077'
Feyenoord:Tobias van den Elshout 1829 −4* for Gjivai Zechiel 2134 +10 - 80'Bendegúz Kovács 1723 −8* for Jordy Clasie 1952 −15*
AZ Alkmaar:Bendegúz Kovács 1723 −8* for Jordy Clasie 1952 −15* - Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra 1822 −7* for Nacho Ferri 2023 +37*89'
Feyenoord:Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra 1822 −7* for Nacho Ferri 2023 +37*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 41% · 26% · 33%(Feyenoord · draw · AZ Alkmaar)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–0 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Feyenoord €5.5M, AZ Alkmaar €5.3M.
- Home advantage made Feyenoord the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- AZ Alkmaar's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.6 over 180 days.
- Only 2 of AZ Alkmaar's expected starters were past their position's peak age.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Feyenoord
3rd in Eredivisie · 17 pts from 7
- 20 SepWUtrecht Eredivisie2090
- 13 SepWPEC Zwolle Eredivisie2068
- 9 SepLBarcelona UEFA Champions League2060
- 5 SepWNEC Nijmegen Eredivisie2024
- 30 AugDADO Den Haag Eredivisie2053
AZ Alkmaar
1st in Eredivisie · 19 pts from 7
- 20 SepWTelstar Eredivisie2111
- 16 SepLSunderland UEFA Europa League2090
- 11 SepDWillem II Eredivisie2127
- 6 SepWHeerenveen Eredivisie2114
- 29 AugWGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie2116
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 17 /7 | 64.6 | 6% | 72% | 0% | 4th |
| AZ Alkmaar | 19 /7 | 68.5 | 16% | 87% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Feyenoord · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2124

AZ Alkmaar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 2153
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Feyenoord: dribble-heavy · creative (how Giovanni Christiaan van Bronckhorst plays) · AZ Alkmaar: balanced profile (how Leeroy Echteld plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.