NB I · Regular Season - 12
Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Groupama Arena, Budapest
Ferencvarosi TC host Paks on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (NB I); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Ferencvarosi TC 68%, draw 20%, Paks 12%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Ferencvarosi TC €1.5M, Paks €323K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of NB I matchday 12: 325 points.
- NB I: T. Raemaekers is the highest-rated defender (2041).
- Style contrast in possession (NB I): Ferencvarosi TC rank #1 of 10, Paks #10.
- Ferencvarosi TC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Ferencvarosi TC goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 1–19%
- 1–08%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores47%
Team Elo: Ferencvarosi TC 1901 · Paks 1576
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Ferencvarosi TC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 2041
Paks · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1527
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Ferencvarosi TC
5th in NB I · 14 pts from 9
- 18 OctDKisvarda FC NB I1903
- 15 OctWPlzen UEFA Europa League1932
- 10 OctDDebreceni VSC NB I1920
- 20 SepDNyiregyhaza NB I1906
- 17 SepWCeltic UEFA Europa League1855
Paks
6th in NB I · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctLGyori ETO FC NB I1600
- 10 OctWMTK Budapest NB I1553
- 19 SepWKisvarda FC NB I1537
- 5 SepLDebreceni VSC NB I1554
- 29 AugDNyiregyhaza NB I1579
Season outlook
From the NB I simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferencvarosi TC | 14 /9 | 66.4 | 77% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Paks | 14 /10 | 44.8 | <1% | 20% | 8% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Ferencvarosi TC: possession-based (how Balazs Borbely plays) · Paks: high-pressing · direct (how György Bognár plays)