Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
FC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Kras Stadion, Volendam
FC Volendam host Jong Utrecht on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Eerste Divisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: FC Volendam 46%, draw 28%, Jong Utrecht 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: FC Volendam €469K, Jong Utrecht €352K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. FC Volendam goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: FC Volendam 1673 · Jong Utrecht 1611
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Volendam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1703
Jong Utrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1613
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
FC Volendam
8th in Eerste Divisie · 16 pts from 11
- 18 OctDWaalwijk Netherlands Eerste Divisie1687
- 9 OctWVitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie1655
- 3 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie1667
- 26 SepWVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1642
- 18 SepLJong AZ Netherlands Eerste Divisie1652
Jong Utrecht
20th in Eerste Divisie · 7 pts from 10
- 9 OctLDe Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie1645
- 18 SepLVVV Venlo Netherlands Eerste Divisie1649
- 14 SepWJong Ajax Netherlands Eerste Divisie1616
- 11 SepWNAC Breda Netherlands Eerste Divisie1591
- 7 SepDFC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie1601
Season outlook
From the Eerste Divisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | 16 /11 | 57.1 | 2% | 24% | 1% | 6th |
| Jong Utrecht | 7 /10 | 45.0 | 0% | 1% | 24% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-volume
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
FC Volendam: balanced profile (how Erwin van de Looi plays) · Jong Utrecht: balanced profile (how Mark Otten plays)